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Related papers: Bayesian Model Averaging in Astrophysics: A Review

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Model selection aims to determine which theoretical models are most plausible given some data, without necessarily asking about the preferred values of the model parameters. A common model selection question is to ask when new data require…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Andrew R. Liddle , Pia Mukherjee , David Parkinson

This paper presents an overview of some of the concepts of Bayesian Learning. The number of scientific and industrial applications of Bayesian learning has been growing in size rapidly over the last few decades. This process has started…

We propose to model the image differentials of astrophysical source maps by Student's t-distribution and to use them in the Bayesian source separation method as priors. We introduce an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-17 K. Kayabol , E. E. Kuruoglu , J. L. Sanz , B. Sankur , E. Salerno , D. Herranz

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

Photometric redshift estimation is becoming an increasingly important technique, although the currently existing methods present several shortcomings which hinder their application. Here it is shown that most of those drawbacks are…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-05 Narciso Benitez

In conducting non-linear dimensionality reduction and feature learning, it is common to suppose that the data lie near a lower-dimensional manifold. A class of model-based approaches for such problems includes latent variables in an unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-20 Deborshee Sen , Theodore Papamarkou , David Dunson

Manifold-valued parameters routinely arise in modern statistical applications such as in medical imaging, robotics, and computer vision, to name a few. While traditional Bayesian approaches are applicable to such settings by considering an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Rong Tang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Yun Yang

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

In statistical modeling of computer experiments sometimes prior information is available about the underlying function. For example, the physical system simulated by the computer code may be known to be monotone with respect to some or all…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-17 Shirin Golchi , Derek R. Bingham , Hugh Chipman , David A. Campbell

Nested sampling is an important tool for conducting Bayesian analysis in Astronomy and other fields, both for sampling complicated posterior distributions for parameter inference, and for computing marginal likelihoods for model comparison.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-30 Justin Alsing , Will Handley

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

While Bayesian model selection is a useful tool to discriminate between competing cosmological models, it only gives a relative rather than an absolute measure of how good a model is. Bayesian doubt introduces an unknown benchmark model…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-17 M. C. March , G. D. Starkman , R. Trotta , P. M. Vaudrevange

We establish concentration rates for estimation of treatment effects in experiments that incorporate prior sources of information -- such as past pilots, related studies, or expert assessments -- whose external validity is uncertain. Each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

We investigate the posterior rate of convergence for wavelet shrinkage using a Bayesian approach in general Besov spaces. Instead of studying the Bayesian estimator related to a particular loss function, we focus on the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-24 Heng Lian

I review the observational prospects to constrain the equation of state parameter of dark energy and I discuss the potential of future imaging and redshift surveys. Bayesian model selection is used to address the question of the level of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Roberto Trotta

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong

Analysis of a Bayesian mixture model for the Matrix Langevin distribution on the Stiefel manifold is presented. The model exploits a particular parametrization of the Matrix Langevin distribution, various aspects of which are elaborated on.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-25 Subhajit Sengupta , Subhadip Pal , Riten Mitra , Ying Guo , Arunava Banerjee , Yuan Ji

Bayesian neural network models (BNN) have re-surged in recent years due to the advancement of scalable computations and its utility in solving complex prediction problems in a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Zihuan Liu , Tapabrata Maiti
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