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Let $X=\{X(t),t\in R_+\}$ be a real-valued symmetric L\'{e}vy process with continuous local times $\{L^x_t,(t,x)\in R_+\times R\}$ and characteristic function $Ee^{i\lambda X(t)}=e^{-t\psi(\lambda)}$. Let…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

Large language models (LLMs) often exhibit undesirable behaviors, such as safety violations and hallucinations. Although inference-time steering offers a cost-effective way to adjust model behavior without updating its parameters, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Zixuan Weng , Jinghuai Zhang , Kunlin Cai , Ying Li , Peiran Wang , Yuan Tian

Since the work of Page in the 1950s, the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of stochastic processes has received a great deal of attention. In particular, a deep connection has been established between Lorden's…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

The fractional Brownian motion can be considered as a Gaussian field indexed by $(t,H)\in {\mathbb{R}_{+}\times (0,1)}$, where $H$ is the Hurst parameter. On compact time intervals, it is known to be almost surely jointly H\"older…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

We establish two results about local times of spectrally positive stable processes. The first is a general approximation result, uniform in space and on compact time intervals, in a model where each jump of the stable process may be marked…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Noah Forman , Soumik Pal , Douglas Rizzolo , Matthias Winkel

We apply the techniques of stochastic integration with respect to fractional Brownian motion and the theory of regularity and supremum estimation for stochastic processes to study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ciprian A. Tudor , Frederi G. Viens

We consider the generic regularized optimization problem $\hat{\mathsf{\beta}}(\lambda)=\arg \min_{\beta}L({\sf{y}},X{\sf{\beta}})+\lambda J({\sf{\beta}})$. Efron, Hastie, Johnstone and Tibshirani [Ann. Statist. 32 (2004) 407--499] have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Saharon Rosset , Ji Zhu

The aim of this paper is to present a result of discrete approximation of some class of stable self-similar stationary increments processes. The properties of such processes were intensively investigated, but little is known on the context…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-18 Clément Dombry , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

Locked intrinsic localized modes (ILMs) and large amplitude lattice spatial modes (LSMs) have been experimentally measured for a driven 1-D nonlinear cyclic electric transmission line, where the nonlinear element is a saturable capacitor.…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-05-09 S. Shige , K. Miyasaka , W. Shi , Y. Soga , M. Sato , A. J. Sievers

We show existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for SDE of the form \[ dX_t = g(X_t)dt + u(X_t)dt + dW^H_t \] where $W^H$ is a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H\in (0,\frac{1}{2})$, $u$ is a linearly dispersive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Avi Mayorcas , Łukasz Mądry

It is well-known that stable and unstable manifolds strongly influence fluid motion in unsteady flows. These emanate from hyperbolic trajectories, with the structures moving nonautonomously in time. The local directions of emanation at each…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Sanjeeva Balasuriya

Hidden semi-Markov Models (HSMM's) - while broadly in use - are restricted to a discrete and uniform time grid. They are thus not well suited to explain often irregularly spaced discrete event data from continuous-time phenomena. We show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Nicolai Engelmann , Heinz Koeppl

This article is devoted to study stochastic lattice dynamical systems driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(1/2,1)$. First of all, we investigate the existence and uniqueness of pathwise mild solutions to such…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Hakima Bessaih , María J. Garrido-Atienza , Xiaoying Han , Björn Schmalfuß

We construct a canonical geometric rough path over $d$-dimensional tempered fractional Brownian motion (tfBm) for any Hurst parameter $H > 1/4$ and tempering parameter $\lambda > 0$. The main challenge stems from the non-homogeneous nature…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Atef Lechiheb

The identification and visualization of Lagrangian structures in flows plays a crucial role in the study of dynamic systems and fluid dynamics. The Finite Time Lyapunov Exponent (FTLE) has been widely used for this purpose; however, it only…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Yun Chen Tsai , Shingyu Leung

In this paper, we construct operator fractional L\'evy motion (ofLm), a broad class of non-Gaussian stochastic processes that are covariance operator self-similar, have wide-sense stationary increments and display infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Benjamin Cooper Boniece , Gustavo Didier

This paper studies the finite-time stability and stabilization of linear discrete time-varying stochastic systems with multiplicative noise. Firstly, necessary and sufficient conditions for finite-time stability are presented via state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Tianliang Zhang , Feiqi Deng , Weihai Zhang

In this work we characterize the local asymptotic self-similarity of harmonizable fractional L\'evy motions in the heavy tailed case. The corresponding tangent process is shown to be the harmonizable fractional stable motion. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Thorbjørn Grønbæk , Mark Podolskij