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A high-dimensional $r$-factor model for an $n$-dimensional vector time series is characterised by the presence of a large eigengap (increasing with $n$) between the $r$-th and the $(r+1)$-th largest eigenvalues of the covariance matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho

Individual investors are now massively using online brokers to trade stocks with convenient interfaces and low fees, albeit losing the advice and personalization traditionally provided by full-service brokers. We frame the problem faced by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Robin Swezey , Bruno Charron

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

We consider the problem of accurately measuring the credit risk of a portfolio consisting of loss exposures such as loans, bonds and other financial assets. We are particularly interested in the probability of large portfolio losses. We…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-03 Kevin Lam , Zdravko Botev

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan

The field of portfolio selection is an active research topic, which combines elements and methodologies from various fields, such as optimization, decision analysis, risk management, data science, forecasting, etc. The modeling and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 A. Georgantas

In this paper, a new way to integrate volatility information for estimating value at risk (VaR) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) of a portfolio is suggested. The new method is developed from the perspective of Bayesian statistics and it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-04 Taras Bodnar , Vilhelm Niklasson , Erik Thorsén

This article develops the theory of risk budgeting portfolios, when we would like to impose weight constraints. It appears that the mathematical problem is more complex than the traditional risk budgeting problem. The formulation of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-18 Jean-Charles Richard , Thierry Roncalli

In this paper, we discuss the ambiguous chance constrained based portfolio optimization problems, in which the perturbations associated with the input parameters are stochastic in nature, but their distributions are not known precisely. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Pulak Swain , Akshay Kumar Ojha

This paper re-examines the problem of estimating risk premia in linear factor pricing models. Typically, the data used in the empirical literature are characterized by weakness of some pricing factors, strong cross-sectional dependence in…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-09 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

The optimal allocation of assets has been widely discussed with the theoretical analysis of risk measures, and pessimism is one of the most attractive approaches beyond the conventional optimal portfolio model. The $\alpha$-risk plays a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-20 Sungchul Hong , Jong-June Jeon

In this paper, we study large losses arising from defaults of a credit portfolio. We assume that the portfolio dependence structure is modelled by the Archimedean copula family as opposed to the widely used Gaussian copula. The resulting…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Hengxin Cui , Ken Seng Tan , Fan Yang

Portfolio selection in the periodic investment of securities modeled by a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps is considered. The optimization framework is designed to maximize expected terminal wealth when portfolio risk is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

This work initiates research into the problem of determining an optimal investment strategy for investors with different attitudes towards the trade-offs of risk and profit. The probability distribution of the return values of the stocks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ming-Yang Kao , Andreas Nolte , Stephen R. Tate

In this paper we estimate the mean-variance portfolio in the high-dimensional case using the recent results from the theory of random matrices. We construct a linear shrinkage estimator which is distribution-free and is optimal in the sense…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Yarema Okhrin , Nestor Parolya

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is one of the main regulatory tools used for risk management purposes. However, it is difficult to compute optimal VaR portfolios; that is, an optimal risk-reward portfolio allocation using VaR as the risk measure. This…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-16 Onur Babat , Juan C. Vera , Luis F. Zuluaga

In this paper, we focus on exploiting the group structure for large-dimensional factor models, which captures the homogeneous effects of common factors on individuals within the same group. In view of the fact that datasets in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

We consider the problem of forecasting debt recovery from large portfolios of non-performing unsecured consumer loans under management. The state of the art in industry is to use stochastic processes to approximately model payment behaviour…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Sam Baynes , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell , Edmund Ryan , Timothy Waite

This paper studies a robust continuous-time Markowitz portfolio selection pro\-blem where the model uncertainty carries on the covariance matrix of multiple risky assets. This problem is formulated into a min-max mean-variance problem over…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-14 Amine Ismail , Huyên Pham