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Social contact networks underlying epidemic processes in humans and animals are highly dynamic. The spreading of infections on such temporal networks can differ dramatically from spreading on static networks. We theoretically investigate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Tomokatsu Onaga , James P. Gleeson , Naoki Masuda

We study the epidemic source detection problem in contact tracing networks modeled as a graph-constrained maximum likelihood estimation problem using the susceptible-infected model in epidemiology. Based on a snapshot observation of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Pei-Duo Yu , Chee Wei Tan , Hung-Lin Fu

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

We study the dynamics of epidemic spreading processes aimed at spontaneous dissemination of information updates in populations with complex connectivity patterns. The influence of the topological structure of the network in these processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Yamir Moreno , Maziar Nekovee , Alessandro Vespignani

We investigate the impact of misinformation about the contact structure on the ability to predict disease outbreaks. We base our study on 31 empirical temporal networks and tune the frequencies in errors in the node identities or timestamps…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-01 Petter Holme , Luis E C Rocha

Drug resistance and strong contacts actually play crucial roles in epidemic spread in complex systems. Nevertheless, neither theoretical model or methodology is proposed to address this. We thus consider an edge-based epidemic spread model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Peng-Bi Cui , Lei Gao , Wei Wang

Despite centuries of work on containment and mitigation strategies, infectious diseases are still a major problem facing humanity. This work is concerned with simulating heterogeneous contact structures and understanding how the structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Jan Kreischer , Adrian Iten , Astrid Jehoul

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Short-horizon epidemic forecasts guide near-term staffing, testing, and messaging. Mobility data are now routinely used to improve such forecasts, yet work diverges on whether the volume of mobility or the structure of mobility networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-24 Sepehr Ilami , Qingtao Cao , Babak Heydari

The customary perspective to reason about epidemic mitigation in temporal networks hinges on the identification of nodes with specific features or network roles. The ensuing individual-based control strategies, however, are difficult to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-13 Laetitia Gauvin , André Panisson , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

Pairwise temporal interactions between entities can be represented as temporal networks, which code the propagation of processes such as epidemic spreading or information cascades, evolving on top of them. The largest outcome of these…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Rémi Vaudaine , Pierre Borgnat , Paulo Goncalves , Rémi Gribonval , Márton Karsai

A statistical model assuming a preferential attachment network, which is generated by adding nodes sequentially according to a few simple rules, usually describes real-life networks better than a model assuming, for example, a Bernoulli…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-01 Clement Lee , Andrew Garbett , Darren J. Wilkinson

Temporal networks are increasingly being used to model the interactions of complex systems. Most studies require the temporal aggregation of edges (or events) into discrete time steps to perform analysis. In this article we describe a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Andrew Mellor

The epidemic threshold of a spreading process indicates the condition for the occurrence of the wide spreading regime, thus representing a predictor of the network vulnerability to the epidemic. Such threshold depends on the natural history…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

Understanding cascading failures or epidemics in networks is crucial for developing effective defensive mechanisms for many critical systems and infrastructures (e.g. biological, social and cyber networks). Most of the existing works treat…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Jie Xu

Networks are fundamental to the study of complex systems, ranging from social contacts, message transactions, to biological regulations and economical networks. In many realistic applications, these networks may vary over time. Modeling and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Kun Tu , Jian Li , Don Towsley , Dave Braines , Liam Turner

One of the famous results of network science states that networks with heterogeneous connectivity are more susceptible to epidemic spreading than their more homogeneous counterparts. In particular, in networks of identical nodes it has been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-05 Hui Yang , Ming Tang , Thilo Gross

While a natural fit for modeling and understanding mobile networks, time-varying graphs remain poorly understood. Indeed, many of the usual concepts of static graphs have no obvious counterpart in time-varying ones. In this paper, we…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-08-01 John Whitbeck , Marcelo Dias de Amorim , Vania Conan , Jean-Loup Guillaume

Temporal networks model a variety of important phenomena involving timed interactions between entities. Existing methods for machine learning on temporal networks generally exhibit at least one of two limitations. First, time is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Sudhanshu Chanpuriya , Ryan A. Rossi , Sungchul Kim , Tong Yu , Jane Hoffswell , Nedim Lipka , Shunan Guo , Cameron Musco

Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Ping-Ping Li , Bi-Hui Chen