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Classical machine learning classifiers tend to be overconfident can be unreliable outside of the laboratory benchmarks. Properly assessing the reliability of the output of the model per sample is instrumental for real-life scenarios where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Javier Fumanal-Idocin , Javier Andreu-Perez

We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We provide easily verifiable conditions for the well-posedness of the optimal investment problem for a behavioral investor in an incomplete discrete-time multiperiod financial market model, for the first time in the literature. Under two…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-03 Laurence Carassus , Miklos Rasonyi

When humans infer underlying probabilities from stochastic observations, they exhibit biases and variability that cannot be explained on the basis of sound, Bayesian manipulations of probability. This is especially salient when beliefs are…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-08 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Florent Meyniel , Misha Tsodyks , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

We study fluctuations in diffusion-limited reaction systems driven out of their stationary state. Using a numerically exact method, we investigate fluctuation ratios in various systems which differ by their level of violation of microscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sven Dorosz , Michel Pleimling

When making decisions under risk, people often exhibit behaviors that classical economic theories cannot explain. Newer models that attempt to account for these irrational behaviors often lack neuroscience bases and require the introduction…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-24 Ho Ka Chan , Taro Toyoizumi

In case of realization of successful business, gain analysis is essential. In this paper we have cited some new techniques of gain expectation on the basis of neural property of perceptron. Support rule and Sequence mining based artificial…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-04-13 P. Chakrabarti

Consider a regression or some regression-type model for a certain response variable where the linear predictor includes an ordered factor among the explanatory variables. The inclusion of a factor of this type can take place is a few…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Adelchi Azzalini

In statistical practice, whether a Bayesian or frequentist approach is used in inference depends not only on the availability of prior information but also on the attitude taken toward partial prior information, with frequentists tending to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

In a common experimental setting, the behaviour of a noisy dynamical system is monitored in response to manipulations of one or more control parameters. Here, we introduce a structured model to describe parametric changes in qualitative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Gergo Bohner , Maneesh Sahani

In this paper, we propose methods of handling attributive values of object classes in object oriented database with fuzzy information and uncertainty based on quantitatively semantics based hedge algebraic. In this approach we consider to…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Doan Van Thang , Doan Van Ban

In this article, we combine the concept of a bipolar fuzzy set and a soft set. We introduce the notion of bipolar fuzzy soft set and study fundamental properties. We study basic operations on bipolar fuzzy soft set. We define exdended…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-03-10 Muhammad Aslam , Saleem Abdullah , Kifayat ullah

It is desirable to predict the behavior of traffic participants conditioned on different planned trajectories of the autonomous vehicle. This allows the downstream planner to estimate the impact of its decisions. Recent approaches for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Julian Schmidt , Pascal Huissel , Julian Wiederer , Julian Jordan , Vasileios Belagiannis , Klaus Dietmayer

A new fuzzy method is developed using triangular/trapezoidal fuzzy numbers for evaluating a group's mean performance, when qualitative grades instead of numerical scores are used for assessing its members' individual performance. Also, a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Michael Voskoglou

Mutual information has been successfully adopted in filter feature-selection methods to assess both the relevancy of a subset of features in predicting the target variable and the redundancy with respect to other variables. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Mario Beraha , Alberto Maria Metelli , Matteo Papini , Andrea Tirinzoni , Marcello Restelli

We model human decision-making behaviors in a risk-taking task using inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) for the purposes of understanding real human decision making under risk. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work applying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Quanying Liu , Haiyan Wu , Anqi Liu

Predictions in the social world generally influence the target of prediction, a phenomenon known as performativity. Self-fulfilling and self-negating predictions are examples of performativity. Of fundamental importance to economics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Moritz Hardt , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

Explanations of model behavior are commonly evaluated via proxy properties weakly tied to the purposes explanations serve in practice. We contribute a decision theoretic framework that treats explanations as information signals valued by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Ziyang Guo , Berk Ustun , Jessica Hullman

Finding features that disentangle the different causes of variation in real data is a difficult task, that has nonetheless received considerable attention in static domains like natural images. Interactive environments, in which an agent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-23 Emmanuel Bengio , Valentin Thomas , Joelle Pineau , Doina Precup , Yoshua Bengio

In medicine one frequently deals with vague information. As a tool for reasoning in this area, fuzzy logic suggests itself. In this paper we explore the applicability of the basic ideas of fuzzy set theory in the context of medical…

Logic · Mathematics 2018-08-31 Thomas Vetterlein , Anna Zamansky
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