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The Chernoff bound is a well-known tool for obtaining a high probability bound on the expectation of a Bernoulli random variable in terms of its sample average. This bound is commonly used in statistical learning theory to upper bound the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-18 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt

Two new information-theoretic methods are introduced for establishing Poisson approximation inequalities. First, using only elementary information-theoretic techniques it is shown that, when $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ is the sum of the (possibly…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Peter Harremoes , Oliver Johnson

This work introduces a new, explicit bound on the Hellinger distance between a continuous random variable and a Gaussian with matching mean and variance. As example applications, we derive a quantitative Hellinger central limit theorem and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Morgane Austern , Lester Mackey

The framework of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation is presented from the point of view of Palm theory, which is used to construct Stein identities and define local dependence. A general result (Theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

In [Schuhmacher, Electron. J. Probab. 10 (2005), 165--201] estimates of the Barbour-Brown distance d_2 between the distribution of a thinned point process and the distribution of a Poisson process were derived by combining discretization…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

We use a new method via $p$-Wasserstein bounds to prove Cram\'er-type moderate deviations in (multivariate) normal approximations. In the classical setting that $W$ is a standardized sum of $n$ independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

For arbitrary two probability measures on real d-space with given means and variances (covariance matrices), we provide lower bounds for their total variation distance. In the one-dimensional case, a tight bound is given.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Tomohiro Nishiyama

New nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for sums of independent random variables are obtained, motivated by recent studies concerning such bounds for nonlinear statistics. The proofs are based on the Chen--Shao concentration techniques…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-06 Iosif Pinelis

As an application of Stein's method for Poisson approximation, we prove rates of convergence for the tail probabilities of two scan statistics that have been suggested for detecting local signals in sequences of independent random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Xiao Fang , David Siegmund

In this paper a numerical method is presented, which finds a lower bound for the mutual information between a binary and an arbitrary finite random variable with joint distributions that have a variational distance not greater than a known…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-29 A. G. Stefani , J. B. Huber , C. Jardin , H. Sticht

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

Bounds of the accuracy of the normal approximation to the distribution of a sum of independent random variables are improved under relaxed moment conditions, in particular, under the absence of moments of orders higher than the second.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-06 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

We use Stein's method to obtain explicit bounds on the rate of convergence for the Laplace approximation of two different sums of independent random variables; one being a random sum of mean zero random variables and the other being a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Robert E. Gaunt

The total variation distance is a core statistical distance between probability measures that satisfies the metric axioms, with value always falling in $[0,1]$. This distance plays a fundamental role in machine learning and signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Frank Nielsen , Ke Sun

In this article, we first obtain, for the Kolmogorov distance, an error bound between a tempered stable and a compound Poisson distribution and also an error bound between a tempered stable and an alpha stable distribution via Stein method.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Kalyan Burman , Neelesh S Upadhye , Palaniappan Vellaisamy

Motivated by Bourque and Pevzner's simulation study of the parsimony method for studying genome rearrangement, Berestycki and Durrett used techniques from random graph theory to prove that the minimum parsimony distance after iterating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jason Fulman

If one seeks to estimate the total variation between two product measures $||P^\otimes_{1:n}-Q^\otimes_{1:n}||$ in terms of their marginal TV sequence $\delta=(||P_1-Q_1||,||P_2-Q_2||,\ldots,||P_n-Q_n||)$, then trivial upper and lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Aryeh Kontorovich

For functions of independent random variables, various upper and lower variance bounds are revisited in diverse settings. These are then specialized to the Bernoulli, Gaussian, infinitely divisible cases and to Banach space valued random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Clément Deslandes , Christian Houdré

Let $S_n=I_1+\cdots+I_n$ be a sum of independent indicators $I_i$, with $p_i=\Pr(I_i=1)=1-\Pr(I_i=0)$, $i=1,\ldots,n$. It is well-known that the total variation distance between $S_n$ and $Z_\lambda$, where $Z_\lambda$ has a Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Nickos Papadatos