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This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

Practical model building processes are often time-consuming because many different models must be trained and validated. In this paper, we introduce a novel algorithm that can be used for computing the lower and the upper bounds of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-11 Yoshiki Suzuki , Kohei Ogawa , Yuki Shinmura , Ichiro Takeuchi

A Bayesian optimization algorithm for the nurse scheduling problem is presented, which involves choosing a suitable scheduling rule from a set for each nurses assignment. Unlike our previous work that used Gas to implement implicit…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Jingpeng Li , Uwe Aickelin

We consider the problem of decentralized hypothesis testing in a network of energy harvesting sensors, where sensors make noisy observations of a phenomenon and send quantized information about the phenomenon towards a fusion center. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-02 Alla Tarighati , James Gross , Joakim Jalden

This paper develops a mathematical and computational framework for analyzing the expected performance of Bayesian data fusion, or joint statistical inference, within a sensor network. We use variational techniques to obtain the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Gaurav Thakur

An increasing number of applications require real-time reasoning under uncertainty with streaming input. The temporal (dynamic) Bayes net formalism provides a powerful representational framework for such applications. However, existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Masami Takikawa , Bruce D'Ambrosio , Ed Wright

We study a setup in which a system operator hires a sensor to exert costly effort to collect accurate measurements of a value of interest over time. At each time, the sensor is asked to report his observation to the operator, and is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-22 Donya G. Dobakhshari , Parinaz Naghizadeh , Mingyan Liu , Vijay Gupta

Human-sensor systems have a wide range of applications in fields such as robotics, healthcare, and finance. These systems utilize sensors to observe the true state of nature and generate strategically designed signals, aiding humans in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Yinan Hu , Quanyan Zhu

Computing the exact likelihood of data in large Bayesian networks consisting of thousands of vertices is often a difficult task. When these models contain many deterministic conditional probability tables and when the observed values are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-26 Ydo Wexler , Dan Geiger

Unstructured data from diverse sources, such as social media and aerial imagery, can provide valuable up-to-date information for intelligent situation assessment. Mining these different information sources could bring major benefits to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Edwin Simpson , Steven Reece , Stephen J. Roberts

We consider the problem of retrieving a reliable estimate of an attribute monitored by a wireless sensor network, where the sensors harvest energy from the environment independently, at random. Each sensor stores the harvested energy in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-22 Mihaela Mitici , Jasper Goseling , Maurits de Graaf , Richard J. Boucherie

We consider comparisons of statistical learning algorithms using multiple data sets, via leave-one-in cross-study validation: each of the algorithms is trained on one data set; the resulting model is then validated on each remaining data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Lorenzo Trippa , Levi Waldron , Curtis Huttenhower , Giovanni Parmigiani

We show an alternative way of representing a Bayesian belief network by sensitivities and probability distributions. This representation is equivalent to the traditional representation by conditional probabilities, but makes dependencies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Alexander V. Kozlov , Jaswinder Pal Singh

This article expands the framework of Bayesian inference and provides direct probabilistic methods for approaching inference tasks that are typically handled with information theory. We treat Bayesian probability updating as a random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-20 Kevin Vanslette

This paper addresses a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors independently observe a time-inhomogeneous stochastic process. The task is to decide between two hypotheses regarding the statistics of the observed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Chetan D. Pahlajani , Ioannis Poulakakis , Herbert G. Tanner

Gaussian Process (GP) emulators are widely used to approximate complex computer model behaviour across the input space. Motivated by the problem of coupling computer models, recently progress has been made in the theory of the analysis of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-20 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

Attaining the vision of Smart Cities requires the deployment of an enormous number of sensors for monitoring various conditions of the environment. Backscatter-sensors have emerged to be a promising solution due to the uninterruptible…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-11 Guangxu Zhu , Seung-Woo Ko , Kaibin Huang

We study the problem of collaboratively estimating the state of an LTI system monitored by a network of sensors, subject to the following important practical considerations: (i) certain sensors might be arbitrarily compromised by an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-29 Aritra Mitra , Shreyas Sundaram

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

Testing the validity of probabilistic models containing unmeasured (hidden) variables is shown to be a hard task. We show that the task of testing whether models are structurally incompatible with the data at hand, requires an exponential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Dan Geiger , Azaria Paz , Judea Pearl