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An informative measurement is the most efficient way to gain information about an unknown state. We present a first-principles derivation of a general-purpose dynamic programming algorithm that returns an optimal sequence of informative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Peter N. Loxley , Ka-Wai Cheung

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

We present an approach to the solution of decision problems formulated as influence diagrams. This approach involves a special triangulation of the underlying graph, the construction of a junction tree with special properties, and a message…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Frank Jensen , Finn Verner Jensen , Soren L. Dittmer

Reliable automated driving technology is challenged by various sources of uncertainties, in particular, behavioral uncertainties of traffic agents. It is common for traffic agents to have intentions that are unknown to others, leaving an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-10 David Isele , Alexandre Miranda Anon , Faizan M. Tariq , Goro Yeh , Avinash Singh , Sangjae Bae

Our goal is to compute a policy that guarantees improved return over a baseline policy even when the available MDP model is inaccurate. The inaccurate model may be constructed, for example, by system identification techniques when the true…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Yinlam Chow , Marek Petrik , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

We study the problem of policy synthesis for uncertain partially observable Markov decision processes (uPOMDPs). The transition probability function of uPOMDPs is only known to belong to a so-called uncertainty set, for instance in the form…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-24 Marnix Suilen , Nils Jansen , Murat Cubuktepe , Ufuk Topcu

We describe a method for time-critical decision making involving sequential tasks and stochastic processes. The method employs several iterative refinement routines for solving different aspects of the decision making problem. This paper…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Thomas L. Dean , Leslie Pack Kaelbling , Jak Kirman , Ann Nicholson

Human decisional processes result from the employment of selected quantities of relevant information, generally synthesized from environmental incoming data and stored memories. Their main goal is the production of an appropriate and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Graziano Barnabei , Franco Bagnoli , Ciro Conversano , Elena Lensi

Solving partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) is highly intractable in general, at least in part because the optimal policy may be infinitely large. In this paper, we explore the problem of finding the optimal policy from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Nicolas Meuleau , Kee-Eung Kim , Leslie Pack Kaelbling , Anthony R. Cassandra

We consider adaptive decision-making problems where an agent optimizes a cumulative performance objective by repeatedly choosing among a finite set of options. Compared to the classical prediction-with-expert-advice set-up, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Michael Muehlebach

We present a new approach to the solution of decision problems formulated as influence diagrams. The approach converts the influence diagram into a simpler structure, the LImited Memory Influence Diagram (LIMID), where only the requisite…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Dennis Nilsson , Steffen L. Lauritzen

This article outlines a method for automatically generating models of dynamic decision-making that both have strong predictive power and are interpretable in human terms. This is useful for designing empirically grounded agent-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 John J. Nay , Jonathan M. Gilligan

We consider deterministic infinite horizon optimal control problems with nonnegative stage costs. We draw inspiration from learning model predictive control scheme designed for continuous dynamics and iterative tasks, and propose a rollout…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Yuchao Li , Karl H. Johansson , Jonas Mårtensson , Dimitri P. Bertsekas

Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

Sequential allocation is a simple and widely studied mechanism to allocate indivisible items in turns to agents according to a pre-specified picking sequence of agents. At each turn, the current agent in the picking sequence picks its most…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Mingyu Xiao , Jiaxing Ling

We consider the problem of planning with participation constraints introduced in [Zhang et al., 2022]. In this problem, a principal chooses actions in a Markov decision process, resulting in separate utilities for the principal and the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Hanrui Zhang , Yu Cheng , Vincent Conitzer

Synthesis of bulletproof strategies in imperfect information scenarios is a notoriously hard problem. In this paper, we suggest that it is sometimes a viable alternative to aim at "reasonably good" strategies instead. This makes sense not…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Wojciech Jamroga , Damian Kurpiewski

The incorporation of macro-actions (temporally extended actions) into multi-agent decision problems has the potential to address the curse of dimensionality associated with such decision problems. Since macro-actions last for stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Kunal Menda , Yi-Chun Chen , Justin Grana , James W. Bono , Brendan D. Tracey , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , David Wolpert

In timeline-based planning, domains are described as sets of independent, but interacting, components, whose behaviour over time (the set of timelines) is governed by a set of temporal constraints. A distinguishing feature of timeline-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Nicola Gigante , Angelo Montanari , Marta Cialdea Mayer , Andrea Orlandini , Mark Reynolds

Humans currently use arguments for explaining choices which are already made, or for evaluating potential choices. Each potential choice has usually pros and cons of various strengths. In spite of the usefulness of arguments in a decision…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Leila Amgoud , Henri Prade