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Models for epidemic spread typically account for variable risk factors but do not account for the correlation between behavior and risk. Here we extend these models to account for such correlations. We find that a positive correlation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-14 Yoel Sanders

We study individuals' willingness to engage with others who hold opposite views on polarizing policies. A representative sample of 2,507 Americans are given the opportunity to listen to recordings of fellow countrymen and women expressing…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-16 Michele Belot , Guglielmo Briscese

A recent article that combines normalized epidemic compartmental models and population games put forth a system theoretic approach to capture the coupling between a population's strategic behavior and the course of an epidemic. It…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Jair Certorio , Nuno C. Martins , Richard J. La

Understanding how best to estimate state-level policy effects is important, and several unanswered questions remain, particularly about the ability of statistical models to disentangle the effects of concurrently enacted policies. In…

Given limited supply of approved vaccines and constrained medical resources, design of a vaccination strategy to control a pandemic is an economic problem. We use time-series and panel methods with real-world country-level data to estimate…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-19 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee

Public safety is vital to every country, especially school safety. In the United States, students and educators are concerned about school shootings. There are critical needs to understand the patterns of school shootings. Without this…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Wei Dai , Rui Zhang , Diya Kafle

In the context of the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, several reports and studies have attempted to model and predict the spread of the disease. There is also intense debate about policies for limiting the damage, both to health and to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-04 Harshad Khadilkar , Tanuja Ganu , Deva P Seetharam

The increasing frequency of mass school shootings in the United States has been raised as a critical concern. Active shooters kill innocent students and educators in schools. These tragic events highlight the urgent need for effective…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Wei Dai , Yash Singh , Rui Zhang

In this research, starting from a widely accepted definition of risk, we support the idea that risk reduction is a more realistic objective than risk minimization, which represents a theoretical utopia. Furthermore, significant risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Pierpaolo Uberti

Gun violence and mass shootings are high-profile epidemiological issues facing the United States with questions regarding their contagiousness gaining prevalence in news media. Through the use of nonparametric Hawkes processes, we examine…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-09 Peter Boyd , James Molyneux

This chapter presents an overview of a specific form of limited dependent variable models, namely discrete choice models, where the dependent (response or outcome) variable takes values which are discrete, inherently ordered, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Mohit Batham , Soudeh Mirghasemi , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Manini Ojha

The distribution of deaths by cause provides crucial information for public health planning, response, and evaluation. About 60% of deaths globally are not registered or given a cause, limiting our ability to understand disease…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-28 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , Zehang Richard Li , Samuel J. Clark , Tyler H. McCormick

When looking at mass shooting incidents, suicidal shooters seem to carry an even more extreme sense of terror and brutality. The current study aimed to examine how mass shooters suicidality and suicide behavioral threshold influence the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Quan-Hoang Vuong , Minh-Hoang Nguyen , Ruining Jin , Tam-Tri Le

Interest in targeted disease prevention has stimulated development of models that assign risks to individuals, using their personal covariates. We need to evaluate these models, and to quantify the gains achieved by expanding a model with…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-16 Alice S. Whittemore

I develop a model of a randomized experiment with a binary intervention and a binary outcome. Potential outcomes in the intervention and control groups give rise to four types of participants. Fixing ideas such that the outcome is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Amanda Kowalski

Opioid overdose rates have reached an epidemic level and state-level policy innovations have followed suit in an effort to prevent overdose deaths. State-level drug law is a set of policies that may reinforce or undermine each other, and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-07 Jarrod Olson , Po-Hsu Allen Chen , Marissa White , Nicole Brennan , Ning Gong

Objective: Firearm injury research necessitates using data from often-exploited vulnerable populations of Black and Brown Americans. In order to minimize distrust, this study provides a framework for establishing AI trust and transparency…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-31 Jessica Zhu , Michel Cukier , Joseph Richardson

Smoking of tobacco is predicted to cause approximately six million deaths worldwide in 2014. Responding effectively to this epidemic requires a thorough understanding of how smoking behaviour is transmitted and modified. Here, we present a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-15 John C. Lang , Daniel M. Abrams , Hans De Sterck

Gun violence is a critical public safety concern in the United States. In 2006 California implemented a unique firearm monitoring program, the Armed and Prohibited Persons System (APPS), to address gun violence in the state. The APPS…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Eli Ben-Michael , David Arbour , Avi Feller , Alex Franks , Steven Raphael

Pandemic influenza has the epidemic potential to kill millions of people. While various preventive measures exist (i.a., vaccination and school closures), deciding on strategies that lead to their most effective and efficient use remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-18 Pieter Libin , Timothy Verstraeten , Diederik M. Roijers , Jelena Grujic , Kristof Theys , Philippe Lemey , Ann Nowé