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We propose a new algorithm for inferring the state of hidden spins and reconstructing the connections in a synchronous kinetic Ising model, given the observed history. Focusing on the case in which the hidden spins are conditionally…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-11 Claudia Battistin , John Hertz , Joanna Tyrcha , Yasser Roudi

We study analytically the performance of a recently proposed algorithm for learning the couplings of a random asymmetric kinetic Ising model from finite length trajectories of the spin dynamics. Our analysis shows the importance of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-09-30 Ludovica Bachschmid-Romano , Manfred Opper

We consider the problem of predicting the spin states in a kinetic Ising model when spin trajectories are observed for only a finite fraction of sites. In a Bayesian setting, where the probabilistic model of the spin dynamics is assumed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-19 Ludovica Bachschmid Romano , Manfred Opper

We develop efficient ways to consider and correct for the effects of hidden units for the paradigmatic case of the inverse kinetic Ising model with fully asymmetric couplings. We identify two sources of error in reconstructing the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-04-05 Benjamin Dunn , Claudia Battistin

Using methods of statistical physics, we analyse the error of learning couplings in large Ising models from independent data (the inverse Ising problem). We concentrate on learning based on local cost functions, such as the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-08-02 Ludovica Bachschmid-Romano , Manfred Opper

We describe how the couplings in an asynchronous kinetic Ising model can be inferred. We consider two cases, one in which we know both the spin history and the update times and one in which we only know the spin history. For the first case,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-11 Hong-Li Zeng , Mikko Alava , Erik Aurell , John Hertz , Yasser Roudi

Non-equilibrium systems lack an explicit characterisation of their steady state like the Boltzmann distribution for equilibrium systems. This has drastic consequences for the inference of parameters of a model when its dynamics lacks…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-15 Simon L. Dettmer , H. Chau Nguyen , Johannes Berg

Randomly coupled Ising spins constitute the classical model of collective phenomena in disordered systems, with applications covering ferromagnetism, combinatorial optimization, protein folding, stock market dynamics, and social dynamics.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-08-24 David Dahmen , Hannah Bos , Moritz Helias

We consider the problem of inferring a causality structure from multiple binary time series by using the Kinetic Ising Model in datasets where a fraction of observations is missing. We take our steps from a recent work on Mean Field methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-03 Carlo Campajola , Fabrizio Lillo , Daniele Tantari

Recovering microscopic couplings directly from data provides a route to solving the inverse problem in statistical field theories, one that complements the traditional-often computationally intractable-forward approach of predicting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-24 Shreya Shukla , Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We derive learning rules for finding the connections between units in stochastic dynamical networks from the recorded history of a ``visible'' subset of the units. We consider two models. In both of them, the visible units are binary and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-04-13 Joanna Tyrcha , John Hertz

We investigate the learning performance of the pseudolikelihood maximization method for inverse Ising problems. In the teacher-student scenario under the assumption that the teacher's couplings are sparse and the student does not know the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-08-26 Alia Abbara , Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yingying Xu

We provide high-probability sample complexity guarantees for exact structure recovery and accurate predictive learning using noise-corrupted samples from an acyclic (tree-shaped) graphical model. The hidden variables follow a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-18 Konstantinos E. Nikolakakis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Anand D. Sarwate

The inverse statistical problem of finding direct interactions in complex networks is difficult. In the natural sciences, well-controlled perturbation experiments are widely used to probe the structure of complex networks. However, our…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-10-24 Jialong Jiang , David A. Sivak , Matt Thomson

Several recent experiments in biology study systems composed of several interacting elements, for example neuron networks. Normally, measurements describe only the collective behavior of the system, even if in most cases we would like to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-10-12 Vitor Sessak

Kinetic Ising models are powerful tools for studying the non-equilibrium dynamics of complex systems. As their behavior is not tractable for large networks, many mean-field methods have been proposed for their analysis, each based on unique…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-05-13 Miguel Aguilera , S. Amin Moosavi , Hideaki Shimazaki

We train a set of Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBMs) on one- and two-dimensional Ising spin configurations at various values of temperature, generated using Monte Carlo simulations. We validate the training procedure by monitoring several…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-08-14 Guido Cossu , Luigi Del Debbio , Tommaso Giani , Ava Khamseh , Michael Wilson

The inference performance of the pseudolikelihood method is discussed in the framework of the inverse Ising problem when the $\ell_2$-regularized (ridge) linear regression is adopted. This setup is introduced for theoretically investigating…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-10-19 Xiangming Meng , Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Based on dynamical cavity method, we propose an approach to the inference of kinetic Ising model, which asks to reconstruct couplings and external fields from given time-dependent output of original system. Our approach gives an exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-24 Pan Zhang

Learning and inferring features that generate sensory input is a task continuously performed by cortex. In recent years, novel algorithms and learning rules have been proposed that allow neural network models to learn such features from…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-13 Yasser Roudi , Graham Taylor
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