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We focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the critical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}$, when the offspring $\xi$ is regularly varying with index $\nu+1$ and the immigration $\eta$ is regularly varying with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

In this article we focus on the partial sum $S_{n}=X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}$ of the subcritical branching process with immigration $\{X_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N_{+}}}$, under the condition that one of the offspring $\xi$ or immigration $\eta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Jiayan Guo , Wenming Hong

We consider a Galton-Watson process with immigration $(\mathcal{Z}_n)$, with offspring probabilities $(p_i)$ and immigration probabilities $(q_i)$. In the case when $p_0=0$, $p_1\neq 0$, $q_0=0$ (that is, when $\text{essinf}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Nadia Sidorova

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

Let $\left\{ Z(n),n\geq 1\right\} $ be a critical Galton-Watson branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(n)\leq \varphi (n)$, where either $\varphi (n)=an$ for some $a>0$ or $\varphi…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

We investigate subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration in a random environment. Using Goldie's implicit renewal theory we show that under general Cram\'er condition the stationary distribution has a power law tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Bojan Basrak , Peter Kevei

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

We prove weak convergence on the Skorokhod space of Galton-Watson processes with immigration, properly normalized, under the assumption that the tail of the immigration distribution has a logarithmic decay. The limits are extremal shot…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko

We investigate the inhomogeneous Galton--Watson processes with immigration, where $\rho_n$ the offspring means in the $n^\textrm{th}$ generation tends to 1. We show that if the second derivatives of the offspring generating functions go to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Peter Kevei

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

We give sufficient conditions on the initial, offspring and immigration distributions under which the distribution of a not necessarily stationary Galton--Watson process with immigration is regularly varying at any fixed time.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

A second-order Galton-Watson process with immigration can be represented as a coordinate process of a 2-type Galton-Watson process with immigration. Sufficient conditions are derived on the offspring and immigration distributions of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Matyas Barczy , Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a critical decomposable 3-type Galton-Watson process with immigration when its offspring mean matrix is triangular with diagonal entries 1. It is proved that, under second or fourth order moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány

We consider an observed subcritical Galton Watson process $\{Y_n,\ n\in \mathbb{Z} \}$ with correlated stationary immigration process $\{\epsilon_n,\ n\in \mathbb{Z} \}$. Two situations are presented. The first one is when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina

Limit behaviour of temporal and contemporaneous aggregations of independent copies of a stationary multitype Galton-Watson branching process with immigration is studied in the so-called iterated and simultaneous cases, respectively. In both…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

In this paper, we consider Galton-Watson processes with immigration. Pick $i(\ge2)$ individuals randomly without replacement from the $n$-th generation and trace their lines of descent back in time till they coalesce into $1$ individual in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Hua-Ming Wang , Lulu Li , Huizi Yao

A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

In the first part of this paper we give easy and intuitive proofs for the small value probabilities of the martingale limit of a supercritical Galton-Watson process in both the Schr\"oder and the B\"ottcher case. These results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-19 Peter Morters , Marcel Ortgiese

We give a criterion for unlimited growth with positive probability for a large class of multidimensional stochastic models. As a by-product, we recover the necessary and sufficient conditions for recurrence and transience for critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam