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Obtaining heteroscedastic predictive uncertainties from a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) is vital to many applications. Often, heteroscedastic aleatoric uncertainties are learned as outputs of the BNN in addition to the predictive means,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 David J. Schodt , Ryan Brown , Michael Merritt , Samuel Park , Delsin Menolascino , Mark A. Peot

As belief networks are used to model increasingly complex situations, the need to automatically construct them from large databases will become paramount. This paper concentrates on solving a part of the belief network induction problem:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Ron Musick

Neural networks are powerful function approximators with tremendous potential in learning complex distributions. However, they are prone to overfitting on spurious patterns. Bayesian inference provides a principled way to regularize neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yanzhe Bekkemoen , Helge Langseth

Deterministic neural nets have been shown to learn effective predictors on a wide range of machine learning problems. However, as the standard approach is to train the network to minimize a prediction loss, the resultant model remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Melih Kandemir

Federated Learning enables multiple data centers to train a central model collaboratively without exposing any confidential data. Even though deterministic models are capable of performing high prediction accuracy, their lack of calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Atahan Ozer , Kadir Burak Buldu , Abdullah Akgül , Gozde Unal

This paper exploits extended Bayesian networks for uncertainty reasoning on Petri nets, where firing of transitions is probabilistic. In particular, Bayesian networks are used as symbolic representations of probability distributions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-01 Rebecca Bernemann , Benjamin Cabrera , Reiko Heckel , Barbara König

Popular approaches for quantifying predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks often involve distributions over weights or multiple models, for instance via Markov Chain sampling, ensembling, or Monte Carlo dropout. These techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Dennis Ulmer , Christian Hardmeier , Jes Frellsen

Machine learning provides algorithms that can learn from data and make inferences or predictions on data. Bayesian networks are a class of graphical models that allow to represent a collection of random variables and their condititional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Robert Leppert , Karl-Heinz Zimmermann

We introduce a probabilistic robustness measure for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), defined as the probability that, given a test point, there exists a point within a bounded set such that the BNN prediction differs between the two. Such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Nicola Paoletti , Andrea Patane , Matthew Wicker

The inherent intractability of probabilistic inference has hindered the application of belief networks to large domains. Noisy OR-gates [30] and probabilistic similarity networks [18, 17] escape the complexity of inference by restricting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Paul Dagum , Adam Galper

There are two prominent paradigms to the modeling of networks: in the first, referred to as the mechanistic approach, one specifies a set of domain-specific mechanistic rules that are used to grow or evolve the network over time; in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-24 Ravi Goyal , JP Onnela

The paper discusses the limitations of deep learning models in identifying and utilizing features that remain invariant under a bijective transformation on the data entries, which we refer to as combinatorial patterns. We argue that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Karen Sargsyan

Quantum machine learning promises great speedups over classical algorithms, but it often requires repeated computations to achieve a desired level of accuracy for its point estimates. Bayesian learning focuses more on sampling from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-21 Noah Berner , Vincent Fortuin , Jonas Landman

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been long considered an ideal, yet unscalable solution for improving the robustness and the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks. While they could capture more accurately the posterior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Gianni Franchi , Andrei Bursuc , Emanuel Aldea , Severine Dubuisson , Isabelle Bloch

It is well known that machine learning methods can be vulnerable to adversarially-chosen perturbations of their inputs. Despite significant progress in the area, foundational open problems remain. In this paper, we address several key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Edgar Dobriban , Hamed Hassani , David Hong , Alexander Robey

Markov logic networks (MLNs) reconcile two opposing schools in machine learning and artificial intelligence: causal networks, which account for uncertainty extremely well, and first-order logic, which allows for formal deduction. An MLN is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-20 Peter Wittek , Christian Gogolin

In chemistry, deep neural network models have been increasingly utilized in a variety of applications such as molecular property predictions, novel molecule designs, and planning chemical reactions. Despite the rapid increase in the use of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-05-17 Seongok Ryu , Yongchan Kwon , Woo Youn Kim

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) have gained prominence in recent years as a versatile framework for discussing probabilistic models that support tractable queries and are yet expressive enough to model complex probability distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires

Deep neural classifiers have recently found tremendous success in data-driven control systems. However, existing models suffer from a trade-off between accuracy and adversarial robustness. This limitation must be overcome in the control of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Yatong Bai , Brendon G. Anderson , Somayeh Sojoudi

We present a new method to propagate lower bounds on conditional probability distributions in conventional Bayesian networks. Our method guarantees to provide outer approximations of the exact lower bounds. A key advantage is that we can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Daniel Andrade , Bernhard Sick