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We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

This work aims to improve generalization and interpretability of dynamical systems by recovering the underlying lower-dimensional latent states and their time evolutions. Previous work on disentangled representation learning within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Çağlar Hızlı , Çağatay Yıldız , Matthias Bethge , ST John , Pekka Marttinen

Automatically reasoning about future human behaviors is a difficult problem but has significant practical applications to assistive systems. Part of this difficulty stems from learning systems' inability to represent all kinds of behaviors.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Jiaqi Guan , Ye Yuan , Kris M. Kitani , Nicholas Rhinehart

Deformable objects manipulation can benefit from representations that seamlessly integrate vision and touch while handling occlusions. In this work, we present a novel approach for, and real-world demonstration of, multimodal visuo-tactile…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Youngsun Wi , Andy Zeng , Pete Florence , Nima Fazeli

Gesture is an important mean of non-verbal communication, with visual modality allows human to convey information during interaction, facilitating peoples and human-machine interactions. However, it is considered difficult to automatically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Fabien Allemand , Alessio Mazzela , Jun Villette , Decky Aspandi , Titus Zaharia

When performing tasks like laundry, humans naturally coordinate both hands to manipulate objects and anticipate how their actions will change the state of the clothes. However, achieving such coordination in robotics remains challenging due…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Haonan Chen , Jiaming Xu , Lily Sheng , Tianchen Ji , Shuijing Liu , Yunzhu Li , Katherine Driggs-Campbell

In this paper we consider the problem of learning undirected graphical models from data generated according to the Glauber dynamics. The Glauber dynamics is a Markov chain that sequentially updates individual nodes (variables) in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Guy Bresler , David Gamarnik , Devavrat Shah

The purpose of time series analysis via mechanistic models is to reconcile the known or hypothesized structure of a dynamical system with observations collected over time. We develop a framework for constructing nonlinear mechanistic models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-08 Carles Bretó , Daihai He , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King

Neural population activity exhibits complex, nonlinear dynamics, varying in time, over trials, and across experimental conditions. Here, we develop Conditionally Linear Dynamical System (CLDS) models as a general-purpose method to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-31 Victor Geadah , Amin Nejatbakhsh , David Lipshutz , Jonathan W. Pillow , Alex H. Williams

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is often regarded as the dynamical model of choice in many fields and applications. It is also at the heart of most state-of-the-art speech recognition systems since the 70's. However, from Gaussian mixture models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Sébastien Gagnon , Jean Rouat

As robots increasingly enter human-centered environments, they must not only be able to navigate safely around humans, but also adhere to complex social norms. Humans often rely on non-verbal communication through gestures and facial…

This paper presents a novel framework for automatic speech-driven gesture generation, applicable to human-agent interaction including both virtual agents and robots. Specifically, we extend recent deep-learning-based, data-driven methods…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Taras Kucherenko , Dai Hasegawa , Gustav Eje Henter , Naoshi Kaneko , Hedvig Kjellström

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We characterize the reachability probabilities in stochastic directed graphs by means of reinforcement learning methods. In particular, we show that the dynamics of the transition probabilities in a stochastic digraph can be modeled via a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Corrado Possieri , Mattia Frasca , Alessandro Rizzo

We introduce multiple hidden Markov models (MHMMs) where an observed multivariate categorical time series depends on an unobservable multivariate Mar- kov chain. MHMMs provide an elegant framework for specifying various independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-17 Roberto Colombi , Sabrina Giordano

We explore the usage of meta-learning to derive the causal direction between variables by optimizing over a measure of distribution simplicity. We incorporate a stochastic graph representation which includes latent variables and allows for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Justin Wong , Dominik Damjakob

We propose to learn a probabilistic motion model from a sequence of images for spatio-temporal registration. Our model encodes motion in a low-dimensional probabilistic space - the motion matrix - which enables various motion analysis tasks…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Julian Krebs , Hervé Delingette , Nicholas Ayache , Tommaso Mansi

A robotic system which approximates the user intention and appropriate complimentary motion is critical for successful human-robot interaction. %While the existing wearable sensors can monitor human movements in real-time, prediction of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Muriel Lang , Satoshi Endo , Oliver Dunkley , Sandra Hirche

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework for learning the dynamic patterns in the collective behaviors of social agents and developing profiles for different behavioral groups, using data collected from multiple information sources.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Lin Li , Ananthram Swami , Anna Scaglione