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In this paper, we study the accuracy of values aggregated over classes predicted by a classification algorithm. The problem is that the resulting aggregates (e.g., sums of a variable) are known to be biased. The bias can be large even for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Q. A. Meertens , C. G. H. Diks , H. J. van den Herik , F W Takes

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

The main goal of this paper is to describe a method for exact inference in general hybrid Bayesian networks (BNs) (with a mixture of discrete and continuous chance variables). Our method consists of approximating general hybrid Bayesian…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Prakash P. Shenoy

In this article, we introduce finite mixture models (FMMs) renowned for capturing population heterogeneity. Our focus lies in establishing stochastic comparisons between two arithmetic (finite) mixture models, employing the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Raju Bhakta , Nuria Torrado , Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

We employ the Bayesian improved cross entropy (BiCE) method for rare event estimation in static networks and choose the categorical mixture as the parametric family to capture the dependence among network components. At each iteration of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Jianpeng Chan , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

We describe and analyze a broad class of mixture models for real-valued multivariate data in which the probability density of observations within each component of the model is represented as an arbitrary combination of basis functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 M. E. J. Newman

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Integrative modeling of macromolecular assemblies allows for structural characterization of large assemblies that are recalcitrant to direct experimental observation. A Bayesian inference approach facilitates combining data from…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Shreyas Arvindekar , Kartik Majila , Shruthi Viswanath

Bayesian approaches for learning deep neural networks (BNN) have been received much attention and successfully applied to various applications. Particularly, BNNs have the merit of having better generalization ability as well as better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Gyuseung Baek , Yongdai Kim

This work introduces a novel methodology based on finite mixtures of Student-t distributions to model the errors' distribution in linear regression models. The novelty lies on a particular hierarchical structure for the mixture distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Nívea B. da Silva , Marcos O. Prates , Flávio B. Gonçalves

We introduce finite mixtures of Ising models as a novel approach to study multivariate patterns of associations of binary variables. Our proposed models combine the strengths of Ising models and multivariate Bernoulli mixture models. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Zhen Miao , Yen-Chi Chen , Adrian Dobra

We present a new model-based integrative method for clustering objects given both vectorial data, which describes the feature of each object, and network data, which indicates the similarity of connected objects. The proposed general model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-25 Yunchuan Kong , Xiaodan Fan

Finite mixtures are a flexible modeling tool for irregularly shaped densities and samples from heterogeneous populations. When modeling with mixtures using an exchangeable prior on the component features, the component labels are arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Deborah Kunkel , Mario Peruggia

Replicated weighted networks often exhibit many structural zeros alongside heterogeneous non-zero edge strengths. In structural connectomics, this zero-inflation coincides with subjects expressing overlapping, rather than discrete,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Yuh-Haur Chen , Teng Zhang

Two ideas taken from Bayesian optimization and classifier systems are presented for personnel scheduling based on choosing a suitable scheduling rule from a set for each persons assignment. Unlike our previous work of using genetic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Jingpeng Li , Uwe Aickelin

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Geoff A. Jarrad

Neural networks (NN) have achieved state-of-the-art performance in various applications. Unfortunately in applications where training data is insufficient, they are often prone to overfitting. One effective way to alleviate this problem is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Hao Wang , Xingjian Shi , Dit-Yan Yeung

The aim of this work is to enable inference of deep networks that retain high accuracy for the least possible model complexity, with the latter deduced from the data during inference. To this end, we revisit deep networks that comprise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Sotirios Chatzis , Sergios Theodoridis

This paper introduces Bayesian Flow Networks (BFNs), a new class of generative model in which the parameters of a set of independent distributions are modified with Bayesian inference in the light of noisy data samples, then passed as input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Alex Graves , Rupesh Kumar Srivastava , Timothy Atkinson , Faustino Gomez
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