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Continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) constitute a general and powerful framework for modeling continuous-time stochastic processes on networks. This makes them particularly attractive for learning the directed structures among…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-15 Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have become one of the promising approaches for uncertainty estimation due to the solid theorical foundations. However, the performance of BNNs is affected by the ability of catching uncertainty. Instead of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Shiyu Shen , Bin Pan , Tianyang Shi , Tao Li , Zhenwei Shi

Temporal network analysis and time evolution of network characteristics are powerful tools in describing the changing topology of dynamic networks. This paper uses such approaches to better visualize and provide analytical measures for the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-10-04 N. DiBrita , K. Eledlebi , H. Hildmann , L. Culley , A. F. Isakovic

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Graphs are a commonly used construct for representing relationships between elements in complex high dimensional datasets. Many real-world phenomenon are dynamic in nature, meaning that any graph used to represent them is inherently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Stephen Bonner , John Brennan , Ibad Kureshi , Georgios Theodoropoulos , Andrew Stephen McGough , Boguslaw Obara

This work develops the concept of temporal network epistemology model enabling the simulation of the learning process in dynamic networks. The results of the research, conducted on the temporal social network generated using the CogSNet…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Radosław Michalski , Damian Serwata , Mateusz Nurek , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Przemysław Kazienko , Tao Jia

Convolutional architectures have recently been shown to be competitive on many sequence modelling tasks when compared to the de-facto standard of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), while providing computational and modeling advantages due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Emre Aksan , Otmar Hilliges

There is a need to build intelligence in operating machinery and use data analysis on monitored signals in order to quantify the health of the operating system and self-diagnose any initiations of fault. Built-in control procedures can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-18 G. Zhang , A. R. Singer , N. Vlahopoulos

The concept of temporal networks provides a framework to understand how the interaction between system components changes over time. In empirical communication data, we often detect non-Poissonian, so-called bursty behavior in the activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 Takayuki Hiraoka , Naoki Masuda , Aming Li , Hang-Hyun Jo

Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is an important data mining task, which can be effectively solved by popular deep learning technology. Unfortunately, the existing deep learning-based methods neglect the hidden dependencies in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Huaiyuan Liu , Xianzhang Liu , Donghua Yang , Zhiyu Liang , Hongzhi Wang , Yong Cui , Jun Gu

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

Temporal knowledge graph, serving as an effective way to store and model dynamic relations, shows promising prospects in event forecasting. However, most temporal knowledge graph reasoning methods are highly dependent on the recurrence or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Yi Xu , Junjie Ou , Hui Xu , Luoyi Fu

Although deep networks have been widely adopted, one of their shortcomings has been their blackbox nature. One particularly difficult problem in machine learning is multivariate time series (MVTS) classification. MVTS data arise in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Naveen Madiraju , Homa Karimabadi

Deep conditional generative models are developed to simultaneously learn the temporal dependencies of multiple sequences. The model is designed by introducing a three-way weight tensor to capture the multiplicative interactions between side…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-24 Jiaming Song , Zhe Gan , Lawrence Carin

This paper introduces a novel approach to quantify the uncertainties in fault diagnosis of motor drives using Bayesian neural networks (BNN). Conventional data-driven approaches used for fault diagnosis often rely on point-estimate neural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-16 Subham Sahoo , Huai Wang , Frede Blaabjerg

Evolving temporal networks serve as the abstractions of many real-life dynamic systems, e.g., social network and e-commerce. The purpose of temporal network embedding is to map each node to a time-evolving low-dimension vector for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Ling Chen , Da Wang , Dandan Lyu , Xing Tang , Hongyu Shi

Conditional belief networks introduce stochastic binary variables in neural networks. Contrary to a classical neural network, a belief network can predict more than the expected value of the output $Y$ given the input $X$. It can predict a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Yann N. Dauphin , David Grangier

Differential networks (DN) are important tools for modeling the changes in conditional dependencies between multiple samples. A Bayesian approach for estimating DNs, from the classical viewpoint, is introduced with a computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Jarod Smith , Mohammad Arashi , Andriette Bekker

Time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems under stochastic excitations is a critical yet computationally demanding task. Conventional approaches, such as Monte Carlo simulation, necessitate repeated evaluations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Shailesh Garg , Souvik Chakraborty

Co-evolving time series appears in a multitude of applications such as environmental monitoring, financial analysis, and smart transportation. This paper aims to address the following challenges, including (C1) how to incorporate explicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Baoyu Jing , Hanghang Tong , Yada Zhu