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A maximum likelihood type estimation of the drift and volatility coefficient parameters in the CIR type model driven by $\alpha$-stable noises is studied when the dispersion parameter $\varepsilon\to0$ and the discrete observations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-10 Xu Yang

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

Statistical inference for a linear stochastic hyperbolic equation with two unknown parameters is studied. Based on observation of coordinates of the solution or their linear combination, minimum contrast estimators are introduced. Strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Josef Janák

We consider the classical estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter within classes of nondegenerate diffusion processes. Using rough path theory (in the sense of T. Lyons), we analyze the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Joscha Diehl , Peter Friz , Hilmar Mai

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

We present the numerical estimation of noise parameter induced in the dynamics of the variables by random particle interactions involved in the stochastic chemical oscillator and use it as order parameter to detect the transition from…

Computational Physics · Physics 2011-09-02 R. K. Brojen Singh

This work is concerned with the estimation of multidimensional regression and the asymptotic behaviour of the test involved in selecting models. The main problem with such models is that we need to know the covariance matrix of the noise to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-20 Joseph Rynkiewicz

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

For the stochastic heat equation with multiplicative noise we consider the problem of estimating the diffusivity parameter in front of the Laplace operator. Based on local observations in space, we first study an estimator that was derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Josef Janák , Markus Reiß

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the speed of a stochastic wave equation. We follow a well-known spectral approach to write the solution as a Fourier series, then we project the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-09 F. Delgado-Vences , J. J. Pavon-Español

We construct importance sampling schemes for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. Standard Monte Carlo methods perform poorly for these problems in the small noise limit. With multiscale…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Hui Wang

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by the observations of deterministic signal in white gaussian noise. It is supposed that the signal has a singularity of cusp-type. The properties of the maximum likelihood and bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Oleg Chernoyarov , Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants

The effect of measurement errors in discriminant analysis is investigated. Given observations $Z=X+\epsilon$, where $\epsilon$ denotes a random noise, the goal is to predict the density of $X$ among two possible candidates $f$ and $g$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Sébastien Loustau , Clément Marteau

We discuss the problem of parameter estimation in nonlinear stochastic differential equations based on sampled time series. A central message from the theory of integrating stochastic differential equations is that there exists in general…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 J. Timmer

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Beth Andrews , Matthew Calder , Richard A. Davis

Stochastic partial differential equations of second order with two unknown parameters are studied. Based on ergodicity, two suitable families of minimum constrast estimators are introduced. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Josef Janak

This paper studies the problem of estimation from relative measurements in a graph, in which a vector indexed over the nodes has to be reconstructed from pairwise measurements of differences between its components associated to nodes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Chiara Ravazzi , Nelson P. K. Chan , Paolo Frasca

This research aims to estimate three parameters in a stochastic generalized logistic differential equation. We assume the intrinsic growth rate and shape parameters are constant but unknown. To estimate these two parameters, we use the…

The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang