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Given a homogeneous Poisson process on ${\mathbb{R}}^d$ with intensity $\lambda$, we prove that it is possible to partition the points into two sets, as a deterministic function of the process, and in an isometry-equivariant way, so that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-09 Alexander E. Holroyd , Russell Lyons , Terry Soo

A Neyman-Scott process is a special case of a Cox process. The latent and observable stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott process in this paper, for which the building components of a network are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-10 Chengkuan Hong , Christian R. Shelton

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We propose Mecke-Palm formulas for multiple integrals with respect to a Poisson random measure interlaced with its intensity measure. We apply such formulas to multiple mixed L\'evy systems of L\'evy processes and obtain moment formulas for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Krzysztof Bogdan , Jan Rosiński , Grzegorz Serafin , Łukasz Wojciechowski

In this paper a Malliavin calculus for L\'evy processes based on a family of true derivative operators is developed. The starting point is an extension to L\'evy processes of the pioneering paper by Carlen and Pardoux [8] for the Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-04 Jorge A. León , Josep L. Solé , Frederic Utzet , Josep Vives

By explicitly representing the reaction times of discrete chemical systems as the firing times of independent, unit rate Poisson processes, we develop a new adaptive tau-leaping procedure. The procedure developed is novel in that accuracy…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 David F. Anderson

Seasonal point processes refer to stochastic models for random events which are only observed in a given season. We develop nonparametric Bayesian methodology to study the dynamic evolution of a seasonal marked point process intensity. We…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-08 Sai Xiao , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

A branching L\'evy process can be seen as the continuous-time version of a branching random walk. It describes a particle system on the real line in which particles move and reproduce independently in a Poissonian manner. Just as for L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

In this paper we develop a stochastic analysis for marked binomial processes, that can be viewed as the discrete analogues of marked Poisson processes. The starting point is the statement of a chaotic expansion for square-integrable (marked…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Hélène Halconruy

In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We study the obtainment of closed-form formulas for the distribution of the jumps of a doubly-stochastic Poisson process. The problem is approached in two ways. On the one hand, we translate the problem to the computation of multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Arturo Valdivia

In this paper we study the Poisson Hypothesis, which is a device to analyze approximately the behavior of large queueing networks. We prove it in some simple limiting cases. We show in particular that the corresponding dynamical system,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Rybko , S. Shlosman

In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-30 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

We develop a Malliavin calculus for nonlinear Hawkes processes in the sense of Carlen and Pardoux. This approach, based on perturbations of the jump times of the process, enables the construction of a local Dirichlet form. As an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Alexandre Popier , Laurent Denis , Dorian Cacitti-Holland

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Krzysztof J. Szajowski

We consider the problem of static Bayesian inference for partially observed Levy-process models. We develop a methodology which allows one to infer static parameters and some states of the process, without a bias from the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-01 Hamza Ruzayqat , Ajay Jasra

We consider a real-valued diffusion process with a linear jump term driven by a Poisson point process and we assume that the jump amplitudes have a centered density with finite moments. We show upper and lower estimates for the density of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Eulalia Nualart , Ngoc Khue Tran

In this work we introduce a semi-parametric Bayesian change-point model, defining its time dynamic as a latent Markov process based on the Dirichlet process. We treat the number of change point as a random variable and we estimate it during…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-28 Gianluca Mastrantonio