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Financial regulatory agencies are struggling to manage the systemic risks attributed to negative economic shocks. Preventive interventions are prominent to eliminate the risks and help to build a more resilient financial system. Although…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Zhibin Niu , Junqi Wu , Dawei Cheng , Jiawan Zhang

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

Bank crisis is challenging to define but can be manifested through bank contagion. This study presents a comprehensive framework grounded in nonlinear time series analysis to identify potential early warning signals (EWS) for impending…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-17 Shijia Song , Handong Li

Node centrality is one of the most important and widely used concepts in the study of complex networks. Here, we extend the paradigm of node centrality in financial and economic networks to consider the changes of node "importance" produced…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Michele Benzi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Ernesto Estrada

We consider a model of contagion in financial networks recently introduced in the literature, and we characterize the effect of a few features empirically observed in real networks on the stability of the system. Notably, we consider the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Fabio Caccioli , Thomas A. Catanach , J. Doyne Farmer

An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

We propose a minimal model of the secured interbank network able to shed light on recent money markets puzzles. We find that excess liquidity emerges due to the interactions between the reserves and liquidity ratio constraints; the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-25 Victor Le Coz , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

This paper presents a dynamic game framework to analyze the role of large banks in interbank markets. By extending existing models, we incorporate a large bank as a dynamic decision-maker interacting with multiple small banks. Using the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-22 Yuanyuan Chang , Dena Firoozi , David Benatia

We present a network-based framework for simulating systemic risk that considers shock propagation in banking systems. In particular, the framework allows the modeller to reflect a top-down framework where a shock to one bank in the system…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-13 Nadine M Walters , Conrad Beyers , Gusti van Zyl , Rolf van den Heever

Credit networks rely on decentralized, pairwise trust relationships (channels) to exchange money or goods. Credit networks arise naturally in many financial systems, including the recent construct of payment channel networks in blockchain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Vibhaalakshmi Sivaraman , Weizhao Tang , Shaileshh Bojja Venkatakrishnan , Giulia Fanti , Mohammad Alizadeh

In the context of understanding the nature of the risk transformation process of the financial system we propose an iterative risk-trading game between several agents who build their trading strategies based on a general utility setting.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Pichler

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai

We reverse engineer dynamics of financial contagion to find the scenario of smallest exogenous shock that, should it occur, would lead to a given final systemic loss. This reverse stress test can be used to identify the potential triggers…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-13 Daniel Grigat , Fabio Caccioli

The field of Financial Networks is a paramount example of the novel applications of Statistical Physics that have made possible by the present data revolution. As the total value of the global financial market has vastly outgrown the value…

The structure of many financial networks is protected by privacy and has to be inferred from aggregate observables. Here we consider one of the most successful network reconstruction methods, producing random graphs with desired link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-21 Andrea Gabrielli , Valentina Macchiati , Diego Garlaschelli

Bank credit rating classifies banks into different levels based on publicly disclosed and internal information, serving as an important input in financial risk management. However, domain experts have a vague idea of exploring and comparing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Qiangqiang Liu , Quan Li , Zhihua Zhu , Tangzhi Ye , Xiaojuan Ma

Micro-structural models of contagion and systemic risk emphasize that shock propagation is inherently multi-channel, spanning counterparty exposures, short-term funding and roll-over risk, securities cross-holdings, and common-asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-12 Ilias Aarab , Thomas Gottron , Andrea Colombo , Jörg Reddig , Annalauro Ianiro

Many countries have adopted negative interest rate policies with tiering remuneration, which allows for exemption from negative rates. This practice has led to higher interbank trading volumes, with market rates ranging between zero and the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-21 Toshifumi Nakamura

In the aftermath of the financial crisis, the growing literature on financial networks has widely documented the predictive power of topological characteristics (e.g. degree centrality measures) to explain the systemic impact or systemic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-27 Yérali Gandica , Sophie Béreau , Jean-Yves Gnabo

The current global financial system forms a highly interconnected network where a default in one of its nodes can propagate to many other nodes, causing a catastrophic avalanche effect. In this paper we consider the problem of reducing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov
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