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Time-varying random objects have been increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Moreover, in a substantial number of these applications, periodic behaviour of the random objects has been observed. We develop a novel procedure to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Jiazhen Xu , Andrew T. A. Wood , Tao Zou

In the 1960s, Shiryaev developed a Bayesian theory of change-point detection in the i.i.d. case, which was generalized in the beginning of the 2000s by Tartakovsky and Veeravalli for general stochastic models assuming a certain stability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Chen-Der Fuh , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Sequential change-point detection when the distribution parameters are unknown is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. When the post-change parameters are unknown, we consider a set of detection procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Yang Cao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

We consider the problem of jointly testing multiple hypotheses and estimating a random parameter of the underlying distribution. This problem is investigated in a sequential setup under mild assumptions on the underlying random process. The…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-07 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

The problem of univariate mean change point detection and localization based on a sequence of $n$ independent observations with piecewise constant means has been intensively studied for more than half century, and serves as a blueprint for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo

Binary segmentation, which is sequential in nature is thus far the most widely used method for identifying multiple change points in statistical models. Here we propose a top down methodology called arbitrary segmentation that proceeds in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

This article studies the expected occupancy probabilities on an alphabet. Unlike the standard situation, where observations are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), we assume that they follow a regime switching…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Michael Grabchak , Mark Kelbert , Quentin Paris

We present novel retrospective change point detection approach based on optimal transport and geometric discrepancy. The method does not require any parametric assumptions about distributions separated by change points. It can be used both…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-28 Nikita Pronko

We study the problem of change point localization in dynamic networks models. We assume that we observe a sequence of independent adjacency matrices of the same size, each corresponding to a realization of an unknown inhomogeneous Bernoulli…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of random variables is studied. The objective is to detect the change with the minimum possible delay, subject to constraints on the rate of false alarms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Yingze Hou , Hoda Bidkhori , Taposh Banerjee

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

Classifier predictions often rely on the assumption that new observations come from the same distribution as training data. When the underlying distribution changes, so does the optimal classification rule, and performance may degrade. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ciaran Evans , Max G'Sell

We consider the problem of detecting multiple changepoints in large data sets. Our focus is on applications where the number of changepoints will increase as we collect more data: for example in genetics as we analyse larger regions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 R. Killick , P. Fearnhead , I. A. Eckley

We apply large deviations theory to study asymptotic performance of running consensus distributed detection in sensor networks. Running consensus is a stochastic approximation type algorithm, recently proposed. At each time step k, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-26 Dragana Bajovic , Dusan Jakovetic , Joao Xavier , Bruno Sinopoli , Jose M. F. Moura

In the high dimensional regression analysis when the number of predictors is much larger than the sample size, an important question is to select the important variable which are relevant to the response variable of interest. Variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Pengsheng Ji , Zhigen Zhao

This paper investigates the quickest change detection of quantum states in a universal setting: specifically, where the post-change quantum state is not known a priori. We establish the asymptotic optimality of a two-stage approach in terms…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Arick Grootveld , Haodong Yang , Nandan Sriranga , Biao Chen , Venkata Gandikota , Jason Pollack

The problem of quickest detection of a change in distribution is considered under the assumption that the pre-change distribution is known, and the post-change distribution is only known to belong to a family of distributions…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-30 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez