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Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

We propose a novel credit default model that takes into account the impact of macroeconomic information and contagion effect on the defaults of obligors. We use a set-valued Markov chain to model the default process, which is the set of all…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-31 Dianfa Chen , Jun Deng , Jianfen Feng , Bin Zou

We study the pricing and the hedging of claim {\psi} which depends on the default times of two firms A and B. In fact, we assume that, in the market, we can not buy or sell any defaultable bond of the firm B but we can only trade…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-27 Stephane Goutte , Armand Ngoupeyou

Dynamic hedging is the practice of periodically transacting financial instruments to offset the risk caused by an investment or a liability. Dynamic hedging optimization can be framed as a sequential decision problem; thus, Reinforcement…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Andrei Neagu , Frédéric Godin , Clarence Simard , Leila Kosseim

The paper reviews origins of the approach to pricing derivatives post-crisis by following three papers that have received wide acceptance from practitioners as the theoretical foundations for it - [Piterbarg 2010], [Burgard and Kjaer 2010]…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Hovik Tumasyan

A new challenge to quantitative finance after the recent financial crisis is the study of credit valuation adjustment (CVA), which requires modeling of the future values of a portfolio. In this paper, following recent work in [Weinan…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-22 Jian-Huang She , Dan Grecu

We consider a dynamic model of interconnected banks. New banks can emerge, and existing banks can default, creating a birth-and-death setup. Microscopically, banks evolve as independent geometric Brownian motions. Systemic effects are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Michael Ludkovski , Andrey Sarantsev

Total value adjustment (XVA) is the change in value to be added to the price of a derivative to account for the bilateral default risk and the funding costs. In this paper, we compute such a premium for American basket derivatives whose…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-15 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

Volatility is a key measure of risk in financial analysis. The high volatility of one financial asset today could affect the volatility of another asset tomorrow. These lagged effects among volatilities - which we call volatility spillovers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Luca Barbaglia , Christophe Croux , Ines Wilms

According to theoretical models of valuing risky corporate securities, risk of default is primary component in overall yield spread. However, sizable empirical literature considers it otherwise by giving more importance to non-default risk…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-15 Syed Muhammad Noaman Ahmed Shah , Mazen Kebewar

Wrong-Way Risk (WWR) is an important component in Funding Valuation Adjustment (FVA) modelling. Yet, the standard assumption is independence between market risks and the counterparty defaults and funding costs. This typical industrial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-07 T. van der Zwaard , L. A. Grzelak , C. W. Oosterlee

This article presents a new model for valuing a credit default swap (CDS) contract that is affected by multiple credit risks of the buyer, seller and reference entity. We show that default dependency has a significant impact on asset…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-22 Alan White

The valuation process that economic agents undergo for investments with uncertain payoff typically depends on their statistical views on possible future outcomes, their attitudes toward risk, and, of course, the payoff structure itself.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-11 Constantinos Kardaras

We extend the Vasi\v{c}ek loan portfolio model to a setting where liabilities fluctuate randomly and asset values may be subject to systemic jump risk. We derive the probability distribution of the percentage loss of a uniform portfolio and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-07 Luis H. R. Alvarez , Jani Sainio

A key driver of Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) is the possible dependency between exposure and counterparty credit risk, known as Wrong-Way Risk (WWR). At this time, addressing WWR in a both sound and tractable way remains challenging:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-10 Damiano Brigo , Frédéric Vrins

We develop a unified valuation theory that incorporates credit risk (defaults), collateralization and funding costs, by expanding the replication approach to a generality that has not yet been studied previously and reaching valuation when…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-01 Damiano Brigo , Cristin Buescu , Marco Francischello , Andrea Pallavicini , Marek Rutkowski

Why do companies choose particular capital structures? A compelling answer to this question remains elusive despite extensive research. In this article, we use double machine learning to examine the heterogeneous causal effect of credit…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-28 Helmut Wasserbacher , Martin Spindler

This paper studies the optimal dividend for a multi-line insurance group, in which each subsidiary runs a product line and is exposed to some external credit risk. The default contagion is considered such that one default event may increase…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Zhuo Jin , Huafu Liao , Yue Yang , Xiang Yu

This paper examines the valuation and hedging of standard equity protection swap (EPS) products proposed by Xu et al.. To account for financial crises and counterparty default risk, we develop pricing frameworks based on Merton's…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Marek Rutkowski , Huansang Xu

We derive a consistent differential representation for the dynamics of a self-financing portfolio for different hedging strategies. In the basis of the derivation there is the so called "retarded action principle", which represents the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-23 Dmitry Lesnik
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