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Inspired by online learning, data-dependent regret has recently been proposed as a criterion for controller design. In the regret-optimal control paradigm, causal controllers are designed to minimize regret against a hypothetical optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Gautam Goel , Babak Hassibi

We consider the framework of stochastic multi-armed bandit problems and study the possibilities and limitations of forecasters that perform an on-line exploration of the arms. These forecasters are assessed in terms of their simple regret,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Sébastien Bubeck , Rémi Munos , Gilles Stoltz

Contaminations are a key concern in modern statistical learning, as small but systematic perturbations of all datapoints can substantially alter estimation results. Here, we study Wasserstein-$r$ contaminations ($r\ge 1$) in an $\ell_q$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-24 Patrick Chao , Edgar Dobriban

Model selection in supervised learning provides costless guarantees as if the model that best balances bias and variance was known a priori. We study the feasibility of similar guarantees for cumulative regret minimization in the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Adrienne Margaret Propp , Susan Athey

Bayesian optimization usually assumes that a Bayesian prior is given. However, the strong theoretical guarantees in Bayesian optimization are often regrettably compromised in practice because of unknown parameters in the prior. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Zi Wang , Beomjoon Kim , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

We study the problem of online learning with a notion of regret defined with respect to a set of strategies. We develop tools for analyzing the minimax rates and for deriving regret-minimization algorithms in this scenario. While the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-13 Wei Han , Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

We introduce an online convex optimization algorithm which utilizes projected subgradient descent with optimal adaptive learning rates. Our method provides second-order minimax-optimal dynamic regret guarantee (i.e. dependent on the sum of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

In this paper, the problem of opportunistic channel sensing and access in cognitive radio networks when the sensing is imperfect and a secondary user has limited traffic to send at a time is investigated. Primary users' statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-01-23 Zhou Zhang , Hai Jiang , Peng Tan , Jim Slevinsky

We introduce a novel anytime Batched Thompson sampling policy for multi-armed bandits where the agent observes the rewards of her actions and adjusts her policy only at the end of a small number of batches. We show that this policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Cem Kalkanli , Ayfer Ozgur

We study nonparametric contextual bandits under batch constraints, where the expected reward for each action is modeled as a smooth function of covariates, and the policy updates are made at the end of each batch of observations. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Rong Jiang , Cong Ma

We study the estimation of causal parameters when not all confounders are observed and instead negative controls are available. Recent work has shown how these can enable identification and efficient estimation via two so-called bridge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Masatoshi Uehara

In this paper, decision theory was used to derive Bayes and minimax decision rules to estimate allelic frequencies and to explore their admissibility. Decision rules with uniformly smallest risk usually do not exist and one approach to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-25 Carlos Alberto Martínez , Kshitij Khare , Mauricio A. Elzo

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

We revisit online binary classification by shifting the focus from competing with the best-in-class binary loss to competing against relaxed benchmarks that capture smoothed notions of optimality. Instead of measuring regret relative to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-16 Omar Montasser , Abhishek Shetty , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Estimation of heterogeneous causal effects - i.e., how effects of policies and treatments vary across subjects - is a fundamental task in causal inference. Many methods for estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , James M. Robins , Larry Wasserman

We consider control of uncertain linear time-varying stochastic systems from the perspective of regret minimization. Specifically, we focus on the problem of designing a feedback controller that minimizes the loss relative to a clairvoyant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-04 Andrea Martin , Luca Furieri , Florian Dörfler , John Lygeros , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Multiplayer bandits have recently been extensively studied because of their application to cognitive radio networks. While the literature mostly considers synchronous players, radio networks (e.g. for IoT) tend to have asynchronous devices.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Hugo Richard , Etienne Boursier , Vianney Perchet

In this article, we consider two forms of shrinkage estimators of the mean $\theta$ of a multivariate normal distribution $X\sim N_{p}\left(\theta, \sigma^{2}I_{p}\right)$ where $\sigma^{2}$ is unknown. We take the prior law $\theta \sim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Abdenour Hamdaoui , Abdelkader Benkhaled , Nadia Mezouar

We study the problem of designing minimax procedures in linear regression under the quantile risk. We start by considering the realizable setting with independent Gaussian noise, where for any given noise level and distribution of inputs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Chris J. Maddison , Murat A. Erdogdu

Structural matrix-variate observations routinely arise in diverse fields such as multi-layer network analysis and brain image clustering. While data of this type have been extensively investigated with fruitful outcomes being delivered, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Zhongyuan Lyu , Dong Xia