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We introduce a recursive algorithm of conveniently general form for estimating the coefficient of a moving average model of order one and obtain convergence results for both correct and misspecified MA(1) models. The algorithm encompasses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James L. Cantor , David F. Findley

In the last decade, there has been a growing interest to use Wishart processes for modelling, especially for financial applications. However, there are still few studies on the estimation of its parameters. Here, we study the Maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Aurélien Alfonsi , Ahmed Kebaier , Clément Rey

The performance of Markov chain Monte Carlo calculations is determined by both ensemble variance of the Monte Carlo estimator and autocorrelation of the Markov process. In order to study autocorrelation, binning analysis is commonly used,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-04-05 Markus Wallerberger

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in inverse problems often have non-normal limit distributions, like Chernoff's distribution. However, if one considers smooth functionals of the model, with corresponding functionals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Piet Groeneboom

This paper concerns the nonparametric estimation problem of the distribution-state dependent drift vector field in an interacting $N$-particle system. Observing single-trajectory data for each particle, we derive the mean-field rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Rentian Yao , Xiaohui Chen , Yun Yang

We show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is an effective tool for mitigating non-flow effects in flow analysis. To this end, one constructs two toy models that simulate non-flow contributions corresponding to particle decay and…

Auto-regressive sequence generative models trained by Maximum Likelihood Estimation suffer the exposure bias problem in practical finite sample scenarios. The crux is that the number of training samples for Maximum Likelihood Estimation is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Yuxuan Song , Ning Miao , Hao Zhou , Lantao Yu , Mingxuan Wang , Lei Li

A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Scan line levelling, a ubiquitous and often necessary step in AFM data processing, can cause a severe bias on measured roughness parameters such as mean square roughness or correlation length. Although bias estimates have been formulated,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-06-06 David Nečas

We propose a parametrization of autoregressive unit roots ARMA models (ARUMA) with partial autocorrelation coefficients to specify the autoregressive and integrated part of the model. We obtain the algebraic properties of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Jamie Halliday , Georgi N. Boshnakov

Flow Matching (FM) models achieve remarkable results in generative tasks. Building upon diffusion models, FM's simulation-free training paradigm enables simplicity and efficiency but introduces a train-inference gap: model outputs cannot be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Zhaoyi Li , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li , Shihua Li

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

A two-groups mixed-effects model for the comparison of (normalized) microarray data from two treatment groups is considered. Most competing parametric methods that have appeared in the literature are obtained as special cases or by minor…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Haim Bar , James Booth , Elizabeth Schifano , Martin T. Wells

A connection between the General Linear Model (GLM) in combination with classical statistical inference and the machine learning (MLE)-based inference is described in this paper. Firstly, the estimation of the GLM parameters is expressed as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-10 Juan Manuel Gorriz , SIPBA group , John Suckling

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have wide-ranging applications in machine learning, where they are used to enforce the notion of diversity in subset selection problems. Many estimators have been proposed, but surprisingly the basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet , John Urschel

In many statistical and econometric applications, we gather individual samples from various interconnected populations that undeniably exhibit common latent structures. Utilizing a model that incorporates these latent structures for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Archer Gong Zhang , Jiahua Chen

The consideration of predictive uncertainty in medical imaging with deep learning is of utmost importance. We apply estimation of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by variational Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo dropout to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-27 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Jacob F. Fast , Lüder A. Kahrs , Tobias Ortmaier

The paper addresses the problem to estimate the power spectral density of an ARMA zero mean Gaussian process. We propose a kernel based maximum entropy spectral estimator. The latter searches the optimal spectrum over a class of high order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Mattia Zorzi

Maximum likelihood or restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimates of the parameters in linear mixed-effects models can be determined using the lmer function in the lme4 package for R. As for most model-fitting functions in R, the model…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-24 Douglas Bates , Martin Mächler , Ben Bolker , Steve Walker

We consider the estimation of the affine parameter (and power-law exponent) in the preferential attachment model with random initial degrees. We derive the likelihood, and show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Fengnan Gao , Aad van der Vaart