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Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Wessel L. van Nierop , Nir Shlezinger , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. We propose a new SMC algorithm to compute the expectation of additive functionals recursively.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-27 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh

Indirect imaging problems in biomedical optics generally require repeated evaluation of forward models of radiative transport, for which Monte Carlo is accurate yet computationally costly. We develop a novel approach to reduce this…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-10 Callum M. Macdonald , Simon Arridge , Samuel Powell

Monte Carlo evaluation is used to calculate heavy-ion elastic scattering including the center-of-mass correction and the Coulomb interaction.Angular distributions are presented for a number of nuclear pairs over a wide energy range using…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-04 W. R. Gibbs , Jean-Pierre Dedonder

This paper develops an efficient numerical method for the inverse scattering problem of a time-harmonic plane wave incident on a perfectly reflecting random periodic structure. The method is based on a novel combination of the Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Gang Bao , Yiwen Lin , Xiang Xu

The problem of optimising functions with intractable gradients frequently arise in machine learning and statistics, ranging from maximum marginal likelihood estimation procedures to fine-tuning of generative models. Stochastic approximation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , Yanbo Tang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are not only a popular tool in the analysis of state space models, but offer an alternative to MCMC in situations where Bayesian inference must proceed via simulation. This paper introduces a new SMC…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-11 Paul Fearnhead , Benjamin M. Taylor

Uncertainty propagation in a phaseless magnetic resonance-based electric properties tomography technique is investigated using the Monte Carlo method. The studied inverse method, which recovers the electric properties distribution at…

Medical Physics · Physics 2019-11-11 Alessandro Arduino , Oriano Bottauscio , Mario Chiampi , Luca Zilberti

Probabilistic inversion methods based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation are well suited to quantify parameter and model uncertainty of nonlinear inverse problems. Yet, application of such methods to CPU-intensive forward models…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-01-11 M. Rosas-Carbajal , N. Linde , T. Kalscheuer , J. A. Vrugt

We propose a multilevel Monte Carlo-FEM algorithm to solve elliptic Bayesian inverse problems with "Besov random tree prior". These priors are given by a wavelet series with stochastic coefficients, and certain terms in the expansion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Andreas Stein , Viet Ha Hoang

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

Bayesian inversions followed by estimations of rare event probabilities are often needed to analyse groundwater hazards. Instead of focusing on the posterior distribution of model parameters, the main interest lies then in the distribution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-25 Lea Friedli , Niklas Linde

The shell model Monte Carlo (SMMC) approach provides a powerful method for the microscopic calculation of statistical and collective nuclear properties in model spaces that are many orders of magnitude larger than those that can be treated…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-11 Y. Alhassid , A. Mukherjee , H. Nakada , C. Özen

This paper develops a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach for joint state and parameter estimation that can deal efficiently with abruptly changing parameters which is a common case when tracking maneuvering targets. The approach…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-12 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We introduce a new Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler for infinite-dimensional inverse problems. Our new sampler is based on the affine invariant ensemble sampler, which uses interacting walkers to adapt to the covariance structure of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-03 Jeremie Coullon , Robert J Webber

One of the key challenges in identifying nonlinear and possibly non-Gaussian state space models (SSMs) is the intractability of estimating the system state. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, such as the particle filter (introduced more…

In this work, we develop a novel Monte Carlo method for solving the electromagnetic scattering problem. The method is based on a formal solution of the scattering problem as a modified Born series whose coefficients are found by a conformal…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-05-25 Hector Lopez-Menchon , Juan M. Rius , Alexander Heldring , Eduard Ubeda

The density matrix quantum Monte Carlo (DMQMC) set of methods stochastically samples the exact $N$-body density matrix for interacting electrons at finite temperature. We introduce a simple modification to the interaction picture DMQMC…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-05-25 William Van Benschoten , James J. Shepherd

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a class of algorithms that approximate high-dimensional expectations of a Markov chain. SMC algorithms typically include a resampling step. There are many possible ways to resample, but the relative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Robert J. Webber