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We develop a new computational framework to solve the partial differential equations (PDEs) governing the flow of the joint probability density functions (PDFs) in continuous-time stochastic nonlinear systems. The need for computing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Kenneth F. Caluya , Abhishek Halder

We introduce a novel Bayesian phase estimation technique based on adaptive grid refinement method. This method automatically chooses the number particles needed for accurate phase estimation using grid refinement and cell merging strategies…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-18 Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Nathan Wiebe

A robust uncertainty estimate in global analyses of Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs) is essential at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), especially in view of the high-precision data anticipated by experimentalists in the High-Luminosity…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-14 Mark N. Costantini , Luca Mantani , James M. Moore , Maria Ubiali

In this letter, a new filtering technique to solve a nonlinear state estimation problem has been developed. It is well known that for a nonlinear system, the prior and posterior probability density functions (pdf) are non-Gaussian in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

We present a numerical approach for estimating the probability density function (PDF) of quantities of interest (QoIs) of power grid systems subject to uncertain power generation and load fluctuations. In our approach, generation and load…

The health condition of components in civil infrastructures can be described by various discrete states according to their performance degradation. Inferring these states from measurable responses is typically an ill-posed inverse problem.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-30 Teng Li , Stephen Wu , Yong Huang , James L. Beck , Hui Li

Sequential Bayesian Filtering aims to estimate the current state distribution of a Hidden Markov Model, given the past observations. The problem is well-known to be intractable for most application domains, except in notable cases such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-16 Théophile Cantelobre , Carlo Ciliberto , Benjamin Guedj , Alessandro Rudi

In this paper, we address the fundamental problem of line spectral estimation in a Bayesian framework. We target model order and parameter estimation via variational inference in a probabilistic model in which the frequencies are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Mihai-Alin Badiu , Thomas Lundgaard Hansen , Bernard Henri Fleury

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

This paper proposes a symbolic-numeric Bayesian filtering method for a class of discrete-time nonlinear stochastic systems to achieve high accuracy with a relatively small online computational cost. The proposed method is based on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Tomoyuki Iori , Toshiyuki Ohtsuka

In probability density function (PDF) methods of turbulent flows, the joint PDF of several flow variables is computed by numerically integrating a system of stochastic differential equations for Lagrangian particles. A mathematically exact…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-06-17 J. Bakosi

In probability density function (PDF) methods of turbulent flows, the joint PDF of several flow variables is computed by numerically integrating a system of stochastic differential equations for Lagrangian particles. A set of parallel…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-06-04 J. Bakosi , P. Franzese , Z. Boybeyi

The estimation of unknown parameters in nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) offers valuable insights across a wide range of scientific domains. In this work, we focus on estimating plant root parameters in the Richards equation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Yumo Yang , Anass Ben Bouazza , Xuejun Dong , Quan Zhou

This paper deals with the state estimation of non-linear and non-Gaussian systems with an emphasis on the numerical solution to the Bayesian recursive relations. In particular, this paper builds upon the Lagrangian grid-based filter (GbF)…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Jindřich Duník , Jan Krejčí , Jakub Matoušek , Marek Brandner , Yeongkwon Choe

We discuss a Bayesian methodology for the solution of the inverse problem underlying the determination of parton distribution functions (PDFs). In our approach, Gaussian Processes (GPs) are used to model the PDF prior, while Bayes theorem…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-03 Alessandro Candido , Luigi Del Debbio , Tommaso Giani , Giacomo Petrillo

The state estimation problem for nonlinear systems with stochastic uncertainties can be formulated in the Bayesian framework, where the objective is to replace the state completely by its probability density function. Without the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Lukas Ecker , Kurt Schlacher

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

Variational Bayesian inference is an important machine-learning tool that finds application from statistics to robotics. The goal is to find an approximate probability density function (PDF) from a chosen family that is in some sense…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Timothy D. Barfoot , Gabriele M. T. D'Eleuterio

In some cases, computational benefit can be gained by exploring the hyper parameter space using a deterministic set of grid points instead of a Markov chain. We view this as a numerical integration problem and make three unique…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-30 Chaitanya Joshi , Paul T. Brown , Stephen Joe
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