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We point out that the ideas underlying some test procedures recently proposed for testing post-model-selection (and for some other test problems) in the econometrics literature have been around for quite some time in the statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher

Accurately measuring discrimination is crucial to faithfully assessing fairness of trained machine learning (ML) models. Any bias in measuring discrimination leads to either amplification or underestimation of the existing disparity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Sami Zhioua , Ruta Binkyte , Ayoub Ouni , Farah Barika Ktata

In this paper, we propose several statistics for testing uniformity under progressive Type-I interval censoring. We obtain the critical points of these statistics and study the power of the proposed tests against a representative set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-25 H. Nadeb , H. Torabi , G. G. Hamedani

Clustering is part of unsupervised analysis methods that consist in grouping samples into homogeneous and separate subgroups of observations also called clusters. To interpret the clusters, statistical hypothesis testing is often used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Benjamin Hivert , Denis Agniel , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Boris P Hejblum

Human bias is capable of changing the analysis of measured data sufficiently to alter the results of an experiment. It is incumbent upon modern experiments, especially those investigating quantities considered contentious in the broader…

Group sequential designs in clinical trials allow for interim efficacy and futility monitoring. Adjustment for baseline covariates can increase power and precision of estimated effects. However, inconsistently applying covariate adjustment…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Marlena S. Bannick , Sonya L. Heltshe , Noah Simon

In semi-supervised classification, one is given access both to labeled and unlabeled data. As unlabeled data is typically cheaper to acquire than labeled data, this setup becomes advantageous as soon as one can exploit the unlabeled data in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Christina Göpfert , Shai Ben-David , Olivier Bousquet , Sylvain Gelly , Ilya Tolstikhin , Ruth Urner

Recent observations, especially in cancer immunotherapy clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes, show that the commonly used proportial hazard assumption is often not justifiable, hampering an appropriate analyse of the data by hazard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Marc Ditzhaus , Menggang Yu , Jin Xu

Standard inference about a scalar parameter estimated via GMM amounts to applying a t-test to a particular set of observations. If the number of observations is not very large, then moderately heavy tails can lead to poor behavior of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-15 Ulrich K. Mueller

In a binary classification problem where the goal is to fit an accurate predictor, the presence of corrupted labels in the training data set may create an additional challenge. However, in settings where likelihood maximization is poorly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Yonghoon Lee , Rina Foygel Barber

In research on eye movements in reading, it is common to analyze a number of canonical dependent measures to study how the effects of a manipulation unfold over time. Although this gives rise to the well-known multiple comparisons problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Titus von der Malsburg , Bernhard Angele

We study the problem of mismatched likelihood ratio test. We analyze the type-\RNum{1} and \RNum{2} error exponents when the actual distributions generating the observation are different from the distributions used in the test. We derive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Parham Boroumand , Albert Guillen i Fabregas

Sampling errors in nested sampling parameter estimation differ from those in Bayesian evidence calculation, but have been little studied in the literature. This paper provides the first explanation of the two main sources of sampling errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Edward Higson , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

Randomization tests deliver exact finite-sample Type 1 error control when the null satisfies the randomization hypothesis. In practice, achieving these guarantees often requires stronger conditions than the null hypothesis of primary…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-03 Deniz Dutz , Xinyi Zhang

We make two contributions to the problem of estimating the $L_1$ calibration error of a binary classifier from a finite dataset. First, we provide an upper bound for any classifier where the calibration function has bounded variation.…

When analyzing incomplete data, is it better to use multiple imputation (MI) or full information maximum likelihood (ML)? In large samples ML is clearly better, but in small samples ML's usefulness has been limited because ML commonly uses…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Paul T. von Hippel

In a randomised clinical trial, when the result of the primary endpoint shows a significant benefit, the secondary endpoints are scrutinised to identify additional effects of the treatment. However, this approach entails a risk of…

Large language models (LLMs) have been proposed as alternatives to human experts for estimating unknown quantities with associated uncertainty, a process known as Bayesian elicitation. We test this by asking eleven LLMs to estimate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Mihael Kovac , Kristijan Poje

This paper provides some useful tests for fitting a parametric single-index regression model when covariates are measured with error and validation data is available. We propose two tests whose consistency rates do not depend on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 Hira L. Koul , Chuanlong Xie , Lixing Zhu

This paper studies one-sided hypothesis testing under random sampling without replacement. That is, when $n+1$ binary random variables $X_1,\ldots, X_{n+1}$ are subject to a permutation invariant distribution and $n$ binary random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Zihao Li , Huangjun Zhu , Masahito Hayashi
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