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We introduce a two-stage probabilistic framework for statistical downscaling using unpaired data. Statistical downscaling seeks a probabilistic map to transform low-resolution data from a biased coarse-grained numerical scheme to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zhong Yi Wan , Ricardo Baptista , Yi-fan Chen , John Anderson , Anudhyan Boral , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

We develop a general framework for estimating function-valued parameters under equality or inequality constraints in infinite-dimensional statistical models. Such constrained learning problems are common across many areas of statistics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Razieh Nabi , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , David Benkeser

Latent Markov (LM) models represent an important class of models for the analysis of longitudinal data (Bartolucci et. al., 2013), especially when response variables are categorical. These models have a great potential of application for…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-20 Francesco Bartolucci , Alessio Farcomeni , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

We present a framework for selecting and developing measures of dependence when the goal is the quantification of a relationship between two variables, not simply the establishment of its existence. Much of the literature on dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-22 Matthew Reimherr , Dan L. Nicolae

Scientific datasets often arise from multiple independent mechanisms such as spatial, categorical or structural effects, whose combined influence obscures their individual contributions. We introduce DIVIDE, a framework that disentangles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Vivek Chawla , Boris Slautin , Utkarsh Pratiush , Dayakar Penumadu , Sergei Kalinin

Markov networks are popular models for discrete multivariate systems where the dependence structure of the variables is specified by an undirected graph. To allow for more expressive dependence structures, several generalizations of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Johan Pensar , Henrik Nyman , Jukka Corander

The accuracy of probability distributions inferred using machine-learning algorithms heavily depends on data availability and quality. In practical applications it is therefore fundamental to investigate the robustness of a statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Christiane Goergen , Manuele Leonelli

In order to improve the fault diagnosis capability of multivariate statistical methods, this article introduces a fault isolation framework based on structured sparsity modeling. The developed method relies on the reconstruction based…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-22 Wei Chen , Jiusun Zeng , Xiaobin Xu , Shihua Luo , Chuanhou Gao

State estimation has a pivotal role in several applications, including but not limited to advanced control design. Especially when dealing with nonlinear systems state estimation is a nontrivial task, often entailing approximations and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-08 Riccardo Busetto , Valentina Breschi , Marco Forgione , Dario Piga , Simone Formentin

This is a survey on the use of low-degree polynomials to predict and explain the apparent statistical-computational tradeoffs in a variety of average-case computational problems. In a nutshell, this framework measures the complexity of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Alexander S. Wein

Elimination of unknowns in a system of differential equations is often required when analysing (possibly nonlinear) dynamical systems models, where only a subset of variables are observable. One such analysis, identifiability, often relies…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Ruiwen Dong , Christian Goodbrake , Heather A Harrington , Gleb Pogudin

In reliable decision-making systems based on machine learning, models have to be robust to distributional shifts or provide the uncertainty of their predictions. In node-level problems of graph learning, distributional shifts can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Gleb Bazhenov , Denis Kuznedelev , Andrey Malinin , Artem Babenko , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

We study the problem of conditional two-sample testing, which aims to determine whether two populations have the same distribution after accounting for confounding factors. This problem commonly arises in various applications, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Seongchan Lee , Suman Cha , Ilmun Kim

Inference in current domains of application are often complex and require us to integrate the expertise of a variety of disparate panels of experts and models coherently. In this paper we develop a formal statistical methodology to guide…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-30 Manuele Leonelli , Martine J. Barons , Jim Q. Smith

Deep latent-variable models learn representations of high-dimensional data in an unsupervised manner. A number of recent efforts have focused on learning representations that disentangle statistically independent axes of variation by…

An important approach for efficient inference in probabilistic graphical models exploits symmetries among objects in the domain. Symmetric variables (states) are collapsed into meta-variables (meta-states) and inference algorithms are run…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-01 Ankit Anand , Aditya Grover , Mausam , Parag Singla

Mathematical software systems are becoming more and more important in pure and applied mathematics in order to deal with the complexity and scalability issues inherent in mathematics. In the last decades we have seen a cambric explosion of…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Katja Bercic , Jacques Carette , William M. Farmer , Michael Kohlhase , Dennis Müller , Florian Rabe , Yasmine Sharoda

We consider a planning problem where the dynamics and rewards of the environment depend on a hidden static parameter referred to as the context. The objective is to learn a strategy that maximizes the accumulated reward across all contexts.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-10 Assaf Hallak , Dotan Di Castro , Shie Mannor

Motivation: Model selection is a ubiquitous challenge in statistics. For penalized models, model selection typically entails tuning hyperparameters to maximize a measure of fit or minimize out-of-sample prediction error. However, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Priyam Das , Sarah Robinson , Christine B. Peterson

Automated data-driven modeling, the process of directly discovering the governing equations of a system from data, is increasingly being used across the scientific community. PySINDy is a Python package that provides tools for applying the…