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The influential claim that most published results are false raised concerns about the trustworthiness and integrity of science. Since then, there have been numerous attempts to examine the rate of false-positive results that have failed to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-19 Ulrich Schimmack , František Bartoš

It is widely acknowledged that the biomedical literature suffer from a surfeit of false positive results. Part of the reason for this is the persistence of the myth that observation of a p value less than 0.05 is sufficient justification to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-28 David Colquhoun

The high fraction of published results that turn out to be incorrect is a major concern of today's science. This paper contributes to the understanding of this problem in two independent directions. First, Johnson's recent claim that…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-07 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Performance comparisons are fundamental in medical imaging Artificial Intelligence (AI) research, often driving claims of superiority based on relative improvements in common performance metrics. However, such claims frequently rely solely…

Many published research results are false, and controversy continues over the roles of replication and publication policy in improving the reliability of research. Addressing these problems is frustrated by the lack of a formal framework…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-08-27 Richard McElreath , Paul E. Smaldino

In the process of scientific inquiry, certain claims accumulate enough support to be established as facts. Unfortunately, not every claim accorded the status of fact turns out to be true. In this paper, we model the dynamic process by which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-29 Silas B. Nissen , Tali Magidson , Kevin Gross , Carl T. Bergstrom

Reproducibility, the ability to reproduce the results of published papers or studies using their computer code and data, is a cornerstone of reliable scientific methodology. Studies where results cannot be reproduced by the scientific…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-03 Xin Xiong , Ivor Cribben

Recent research\cite{fort} has shown that in the 20th century there is an exponential growth of the number of published scientific papers, but new ideas has only a linear growth with time. The 19th and the first half of the 20th century saw…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-21 Navinder Singh

The Open Science Collaboration recently reported that 36% of published findings from psychological studies were reproducible by independent researchers. We can use this information together with Bayes theorem to estimate the statistical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-13 Michael Ingre

The issue of duplicate publications has received a lot of attention in the medical literature, but much less in the information science community. This paper aims at analyzing the prevalence and scientific impact of duplicate publications…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-06-23 Vincent Lariviere , Yves Gingras

We conducted a large-scale analysis of around 10,000 scientific articles, from the period 2007-2016, to study the bibliometric or formal aspects influencing citations. A transversal analysis was conducted disaggregating the articles into…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Pablo Dorta-González , Yolanda Santana-Jiménez

Correlation coefficient is widely used in biomedical and biological literature, yet its frequent misuse and misinterpretation undermine the credibility and reproducibility of the scientific findings. We systematically reviewed 1326 records…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Jiayang Xu , Xintong Chen , Yufeng Liu , Xiaoli Guo , Shanbao Tong

How has the credibility revolution shaped political science? We address this question by classifying 91,632 articles published between 2003 and 2023 across 156 political science journals using large language models, focusing on research…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Carolina Torreblanca , William Dinneen , Guy Grossman , Yiqing Xu

Background. In recent years, cyber security user studies have been scrutinized for their reporting completeness, statistical reporting fidelity, statistical reliability and biases. It remains an open question what strength of evidence…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Thomas Gross

PP(top x%) is the proportion of papers of a unit (e.g. an institution or a group of researchers), which belongs to the x% most frequently cited papers in the corresponding fields and publication years. It has been proposed that x% of papers…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Lutz Bornmann , Robin Haunschild

In 2015 the Open Science Collaboration (OSC) (Nosek et al 2015) published a highly influential paper which claimed that a large fraction of published results in the psychological sciences were not reproducible. In this article we review…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-18 Anthony Almudevar , Jacob Almudevar

P-values are widely used in both the social and natural sciences to quantify the statistical significance of observed results. The recent surge of big data research has made the p-value an even more popular tool to test the significance of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-05 Bertie Vidgen , Taha Yasseri

An academic scientist's professional success depends on publishing. Publishing norms emphasize novel, positive results. As such, disciplinary incentives encourage design, analysis, and reporting decisions that elicit positive results and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-29 Brian A. Nosek , Jeffrey R. Spies , Matt Motyl

False positive results in screening tests have potentially severe psychological, medical, and financial consequences for the recipient. However, there have been few efforts to quantify how the risk of a false positive accumulates over time.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tim White , Sara Algeri

Summary Background Claims made in science papers are coming under increased scrutiny with many claims failing to replicate. Meta-analysis studies that use unreliable observational studies should be in question. We examine the reliability of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-05 S. Stanley Young , Mithun Kumar Acharjee , Kumer Das
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