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Stress testing, and in particular, reverse stress testing, is a prominent exercise in risk management practice. Reverse stress testing, in contrast to (forward) stress testing, aims to find an alternative but plausible model such that under…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-03 Emma Kroell , Silvana M. Pesenti , Sebastian Jaimungal

In this work we give a comprehensive overview of the time consistency property of dynamic risk and performance measures, focusing on a the discrete time setup. The two key operational concepts used throughout are the notion of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera

Discrete stochastic optimization considers the problem of minimizing (or maximizing) loss functions defined on discrete sets, where only noisy measurements of the loss functions are available. The discrete stochastic optimization problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-04 Qi Wang

Stock market returns are typically analyzed using standard regression, yet they reside on irregular domains which is a natural scenario for graph signal processing. To this end, we consider a market graph as an intuitive way to represent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-08 Alvaro Arroyo , Bruno Scalzo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

Many cases exist in which a black-box function $f$ with high evaluation cost depends on two types of variables $\bm x$ and $\bm w$, where $\bm x$ is a controllable \emph{design} variable and $\bm w$ are uncontrollable \emph{environmental}…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Yu Inatsu , Shogo Iwazaki , Ichiro Takeuchi

Reliable and efficient spectrum sensing through dynamic selection of a subset of spectrum sensors is studied. The problem of selecting K sensor measurements from a set of M potential sensors is considered where K << M. In addition, K may be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-17 Mohsen Joneidi , Alireza Zaeemzadeh , Nazanin Rahnavard

Diffusion-based models have achieved notable empirical successes in reinforcement learning (RL) due to their expressiveness in modeling complex distributions. Despite existing methods being promising, the key challenge of extending existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Dmitry Shribak , Chen-Xiao Gao , Yitong Li , Chenjun Xiao , Bo Dai

In a dynamic framework, we identify a new concept associated with the risk of assessing the financial exposure by a measure that is not adequate to the actual time horizon of the position. This will be called horizon risk. We clarify that…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Giulia Di Nunno , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin

We study the scaling limits of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with constant step-size in the high-dimensional regime. We prove limit theorems for the trajectories of summary statistics (i.e., finite-dimensional functions) of SGD as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-21 Gerard Ben Arous , Reza Gheissari , Aukosh Jagannath

This paper considers a risk-constrained infinite-horizon optimal control problem and proposes to solve it in an iterative manner. Each iteration of the algorithm generates a trajectory from the starting point to the target equilibrium state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Alireza Zolanvari , Ashish Cherukuri

In practical machine learning, the environments encountered during the model development and deployment phases often differ, especially when a model is used by many users in diverse settings. Learning models that maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Hiroyuki Hanada , Satoshi Akahane , Noriaki Hashimoto , Shion Takeno , Ichiro Takeuchi

In this paper, we consider a risk-averse decision problem for controlled-diffusion processes, with dynamic risk measures, in which multiple risk-averse agents choose their decisions in such a way to minimize their individual accumulated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Getachew K. Befekadu , Eduardo L. Pasiliao

In this paper, we are concerned with the optimization of a dynamic investment portfolio when the securities which follow a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps are periodically invested and proceed by approximating the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-26 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

This paper presents a new safety specification method that is robust against errors in the probability distribution of disturbances. Our proposed distributionally robust safe policy maximizes the probability of a system remaining in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Insoon Yang

The risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for both the authorities and the insurance industry. This paper concerns risk measures in a spatial setting, in order to introduce the spatial features of damages stemming from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Erwan Koch

In the classical static optimal reinsurance problem, the cost of capital for the insurer's risk exposure determined by a monetary risk measure is minimized over the class of reinsurance treaties represented by increasing Lipschitz retained…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-18 Alexander Glauner

We study Spectral Measures of Risk from the perspective of portfolio optimization. We derive exact results which extend to general Spectral Measures M_phi the Pflug--Rockafellar--Uryasev methodology for the minimization of alpha--Expected…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Acerbi Carlo , Simonetti Prospero

We propose a novel framework for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RSRL) that incorporates robustness against transition uncertainty. We define two distinct yet coupled risk measures: an inner risk measure addressing state and cost…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Shanyu Han , Yangbo He , Yang Liu

Scenario reduction (SR) aims to identify a small yet representative scenario set to depict the underlying uncertainty, which is critical to scenario-based stochastic optimization (SBSO) of power systems. Existing SR techniques commonly aim…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Yingrui Zhuang , Lin Cheng , Ning Qi , Mads R. Almassalkhi , Feng Liu

Dynamic spectral risk measures define a claim's valuation bounds as supremum and infimum of expectations of the claim's payoff over a dominated set of measures. The measures at which such extrema are attained are called extreme measures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-23 Yoshihiro Shirai