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Related papers: Polya urns via the contraction method

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We describe an approach that allows us to deduce the limiting return times distribution for arbitrary sets to be compound Poisson distributed. We establish a relation between the limiting return times distribution and the probability of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-08-26 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

Knowing how and when trends are formed is a frequently visited research goal. In our work, we focus on the progression of trends through (social) networks. We use a random graph (RG) model to mimic the progression of a trend through the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-11-06 Marijn ten Thij , Sandjai Bhulai

A special type of binomial splitting process is studied. Such a process can be used to model a high-dimensional corner parking problem, as well as the depth of random PATRICIA tries (a special class of digital tree data structures). The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Michael Fuchs , Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Yoshiaki Itoh , Hosam H. Mahmoud

We consider statistical inference in the density estimation model using a tree-based Bayesian approach, with Optional P\'olya trees as prior distribution. We derive near-optimal convergence rates for corresponding posterior distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Ismaël Castillo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

P\'olya trees are rooted trees considered up to symmetry. We establish the convergence of large uniform random P\'olya trees with arbitrary degree restrictions to Aldous' Continuum Random Tree with respect to the Gromov-Hausdorff metric.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Konstantinos Panagiotou , Benedikt Stufler

Despite the coupon collector's problem has simple probabilistic solution using inclusion/exclusion principle \cite{PolyaUrn}, starting from a particular type of recurrence differential equation it is used an analytic approach to recover…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Andrea Monsellato

Dirichlet Process Mixtures (DPMs) are a popular class of statistical models to perform density estimation and clustering. However, when the data available have a distribution evolving over time, such models are inadequate. We introduce here…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Francois Caron , Manuel Davy , Arnaud Doucet

We consider a special case of the generalized P\'{o}lya's urn model introduced by Benaim et al (2013). Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 Jun Chen , Cyrille Lucas

Interacting urns with exponential reinforcement were introduced and studied in Launay (2011). As its parameter $\rho$ tends to $\iy$, this reinforcement mechanism converges to the "generalized" reinforcement, in which the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Mickaël Launay , Vlada Limic

Consider a number, finite or not, of urns each with fixed capacity $r$ and balls randomly distributed among them. An overflow is the number of balls that are assigned to urns that already contain $r$ balls. When $r=1$, using analytic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Raul Gouet , Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

This paper proposes a new nonparametric Bayesian bootstrap for a mixture model, by developing the traditional Bayesian bootstrap. We first reinterpret the Bayesian bootstrap, which uses the P\'olya-urn scheme, as a gradient ascent algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Fuheng Cui , Stephen G. Walker

This note presents a proof of P\'olya's random walk theorem using classical methods from special function theory and asymptotic analysis.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-19 Jonathan Novak

We develop the complex-analytic viewpoint on the tree convolutions studied by the second author and Weihua Liu in "An operad of non-commutative independences defined by trees" (Dissertationes Mathematicae, 2020, doi:10.4064/dm797-6-2020),…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Ethan Davis , David Jekel , Zhichao Wang

This paper introduces a new combinatorial framework for modeling the growth of binary trees through a discrete evolution process that incorporates a growing rule and an extinction rule. Building upon the theory of increasingly labeled…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Olivier Bodini , Antoine Genitrini , Khaydar Nurligareev

Suppose an urn contains initially any number of balls of two colours. One ball is drawn randomly and then put back with $\alpha$ balls of the same colour and $\beta$ balls of the opposite colour. Both cases, $\beta=0$ and $\beta>0$ are well…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Raphael Alves , Rafael A. Rosales

We propose a novel method for estimating nonseparable selection models. We show that, for a given selection function, the potential outcome distributions are nonparametrically identified from the selected outcome distributions and can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Fan Wu , Yi Xin

In a one-parameter model for evolution of random trees, which also includes the Barabasi-Albert random tree, almost sure behavior and the limiting distribution of the degree of a vertex in a fixed position are examined. Results about Polya…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Agnes Backhausz

Generating realistic artificial preference distributions is an important part of any simulation analysis of electoral systems. While this has been discussed in some detail in the context of a single electoral district, many electoral…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Geoffrey Pritchard , Mark C. Wilson

We propose a variant model of P{\'o}lya urn process, where the dynamics consist of two competing elements namely, suppression of growth and enhancement of dormant character. Here the level of such features are controlled by an internal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-29 Avinash Chand Yadav

We propose a new method of analyzing the asymptotics of moments of certain linear random recurrences which is based on the technique of iterative functions. By using the method, we show that the moments of the number of collisions and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-11 Alexander Marynych
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