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When knowledge is obtained from a database, it is only possible to deduce confidence intervals for probability values. With confidence intervals replacing point values, the results in the set covering model include interval constraints for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

We give elementary examples within a framework for studying decisions under uncertainty where probabilities are only roughly known. The framework, in gambling terms, is that the size of a bet is proportional to the gambler's perceived…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 David J. Aldous , F. Thomas Bruss

It is a challenging task to reach global cooperation among self-interested agents, which often requires sophisticated design or usage of incentives. For example, we may apply supervisors or referees who are able to detect and punish…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-20 Ting Ling , Zhang Li , Minyu Feng , Attila Szolnoki

This paper completes the analysis of Choulli et al. Non-Arbitrage up to Random Horizons and after Honest Times for Semimartingale Models and contains two principal contributions. The first contribution consists in providing and analysing…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Monique Jeanblanc

In the multiarmed bandit problem a gambler chooses an arm of a slot machine to pull considering a tradeoff between exploration and exploitation. We study the stochastic bandit problem where each arm has a reward distribution supported in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-29 Junya Honda , Akimichi Takemura

The issue of giving an explicit description of the flow of information concerning the time of bankruptcy of a company (or a state) arriving on the market is tackled by defining a bridge process starting from zero and conditioned to be equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-11 Matteo Ludovico Bedini , Rainer Buckdahn , Hans-Jürgen Engelbert

The Optional Public Goods Game is a three-strategy game in which an individual can play as a cooperator or defector or decide not to participate. Despite its simplicity, this model can effectively represent many human social dilemmas, such…

In this paper, we study a time-inconsistent consumption-investment problem with random endowments in a possibly incomplete market under general discount functions. We provide a necessary condition and a verification theorem for an open-loop…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Yushi Hamaguchi

The aim of this paper is to draw attention to an interesting semilinear parabolic equation that arose when describing the chaotic dynamics of a polymer molecule in a liquid. This equation is nonlocal in time and contains a term, called the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-12-30 Victor N. Starovoitov

A boundary value problem for a stationary nonlinear dispersive equation of order $2l+1\;\; l\in \mathbb{N}$ with a convective term in the form $u^ku_x\;\; k\in \mathbb{N}$ was considered on an interval $(0,L)$. The existence, uniqueness and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Jackson Luchesi , Nikolai A. Larkin

Oscillatory behaviors are ubiquitous in nature and the human society. However, most previous works fail to reproduce them in the two-strategy game-theoretical models. Here we show that oscillatory behaviors naturally emerge if incomplete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-27 Jing Zhang , Zhao Li , Jiqiang Zhang , Lin Ma , Guozhong Zheng , Li Chen

We consider a sequential inspection game where an inspector uses a limited number of inspections over a larger number of time periods to detect a violation (an illegal act) of an inspectee. Compared with earlier models, we allow varying…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Bernhard von Stengel

In repeated-game applications where both the collusive and non-collusive outcomes can be supported as equilibria, researchers must resolve underlying selection questions if theory will be used to understand counterfactual policies. One…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-18 Emanuel Vespa , Taylor Weidman , Alistair J. Wilson

This paper focuses on a class of continuous-time controlled Markov chains with time-inconsistent and distribution-dependent cost functional (in some appropriate sense). A new definition of time-inconsistent distribution-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Hongwei Mei , George Yin

The beautiful theory of statistical gambling, started by Dubins and Savage (for subfair games) and continued by Kelly and Breiman (for superfair games) has mostly been studied under the unrealistic assumption that we live in a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-27 Shalosh B. Ekhad , Doron Zeilberger

The public goods game is a model of a society investing some assets and regaining a profit, although can also model biological populations. In the classic public goods game only two strategies compete: either cooperate or defect; a third…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-06-08 Gaspar Alfaro , Miguel A. F. Sanjuan

When banks fail amidst financial crises, the public criticizes regulators for bailing out or liquidating specific banks, especially the ones that gain attention due to their size or dominance. A comprehensive assessment of regulators,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-16 Padma Sharma , Trambak Banerjee

The use of game theoretic methods for control in multiagent systems has been an important topic in recent research. Valid utility games in particular have been used to model real-world problems; such games have the convenient property that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-16 David Grimsman , Philip N. Brown , Jason R. Marden

Situations where people have to decide between hurting themselves or another person are at the core of many individual and global conflicts. Yet little is known about how people behave when facing these situations in the lab. Here we report…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-23 Valerio Capraro

Cooperation and competition between human players in repeated microeconomic games offer a powerful window onto social phenomena such as the establishment, breakdown and repair of trust. This offers the prospect of particular insight into…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-04 Andreas Hula , Iris Vilares , Peter Dayan , P. Read Montague