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This review summarizes the historical development of probability measures in asset pricing, from early mathematical finance and state price theory to risk-neutral valuation, martingale measures, forward measures, stochastic discount…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-28 Zhang Chen , Chen Kay

The ability of a society to make the right decisions on relevant matters relies on its capability to properly aggregate the noisy information spread across the individuals it is made of. In this paper we study the information aggregation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Giacomo Livan , Matteo Marsili

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

In nature and human societies, the effects of homogeneous and heterogeneous characteristics on the evolution of collective behaviors are quite different from each other. It is of great importance to understand the underlying mechanisms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-20 Wen-Juan Xu , Chen-Yang Zhong , Fei Ren , Tian Qiu , Rong-Da Chen , Yun-Xin He , Li-Xin Zhong

This paper moves beyond aggregate measures of retail intensity to explore investment horizon as a distinguishing feature of earnings-related return patterns. Using self-reported holding periods from StockTwits (2010-2021), we observe that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-08 Domonkos F. Vamossy

Kyle (1985) builds a pioneering and influential model, in which an insider with long-lived private information submits an optimal order in each period given the market maker's pricing rule. An inconsistency exists to some extent in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-13 Fuzhou Gong , Deqing Zhou

We present results on simulations of a stock market with heterogeneous, cumulative information setup. We find a non-monotonic behaviour of traders' returns as a function of their information level. Particularly, the average informed agents…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas

We propose a novel class of convex risk measures, based on the concept of the Fr\'echet mean, designed in order to handle uncertainty which arises from multiple information sources regarding the risk factors of interest. The proposed risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design and population-level information. The population-level information is summarized in the form of estimating equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock , Michael S. Rendall

We investigate the optimal investment-reinsurance problem for insurance company with partial information on the market price of the risk. Through the use of filtering techniques we convert the original optimization problem involving…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-15 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri

The robust option pricing problem is to find upper and lower bounds on fair prices of financial claims using only the most minimal assumptions. It contrasts with the classical, model-based approach and gained prominence in the wake of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-15 Alexander M. G. Cox , Annemarie M. Grass

Trend and Value are pervasive anomalies, common to all financial markets. We address the problem of their co-existence and interaction within the framework of Heterogeneous Agent Based Models (HABM). More specifically, we extend the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Adam Majewski , Stefano Ciliberti , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This article proposes a complementary theoretical framework in behavioural finance by interpreting financial markets during boom-and-bust episodes as a Le Bonian crowd. While behavioural finance has documented the limits of individual…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Claire Barraud

To understand the relationship between news sentiment and company stock price movements, and to better understand connectivity among companies, we define an algorithm for measuring sentiment-based network risk. The algorithm ranks companies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Thomas Forss , Peter Sarlin

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

We apply the theory of McKean-Vlasov-type SDEs to study several problems related to market efficiency in the context of partial information and partially observable financial markets: (i) convergence of reduced-information market price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-05 Karen Grigorian , Robert Jarrow

We relax a number of assumptions in Alexeev and Tapon (2012) in order to account for non-normally distributed, skewed, multi-regime, and leptokurtic asset return distributions. We calibrate a Markov-modulated Levy process model to equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-29 Charles Shaw

The article's aim is to provide a solution to the equity premium puzzle with a derived model. The derived model which depends on Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model gives a solution to the puzzle with the values of coefficient of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Atilla Aras

The main aim of this work is to incorporate selected findings from behavioural finance into a Heterogeneous Agent Model using the Brock and Hommes (1998) framework. Behavioural patterns are injected into an asset pricing framework through…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 Jiri Kukacka , Jozef Barunik
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