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The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm has been predominantly used to approximate the maximum likelihood estimation of the location-scale Gaussian mixtures. However, when the models are over-specified, namely, the chosen number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-24 Tongzheng Ren , Fuheng Cui , Sujay Sanghavi , Nhat Ho

Power-expected-posterior (PEP) methodology, which borrows ideas from the literature on power priors, expected-posterior priors and unit information priors, provides a systematic way to construct objective priors. The basic idea is to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Anupreet Porwal , Abel Rodriguez

In this tutorial we explain the inference procedures developed for the sparse Gaussian process (GP) regression and Gaussian process latent variable model (GPLVM). Due to page limit the derivation given in Titsias (2009) and Titsias &…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk

In a task where many similar inverse problems must be solved, evaluating costly simulations is impractical. Therefore, replacing the model $y$ with a surrogate model $y_s$ that can be evaluated quickly leads to a significant speedup. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

In this work we address the problem of approximating high-dimensional data with a low-dimensional representation. We make the following contributions. We propose an inverse regression method which exchanges the roles of input and response,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-04 Antoine Deleforge , Florence Forbes , Radu Horaud

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

We address the issue of knots selection for Gaussian predictive process methodology. Predictive process approximation provides an effective solution to the cubic order computational complexity of Gaussian process models. This approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2011-08-03 Surya T Tokdar

A concise expectation propagation (EP) based message passing algorithm (MPA) is derived for the general measurement channel. By neglecting some high-order infinitesimal terms, the EP-MPA is proven to be equivalent to the Generalized…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Lei Liu , Ying Li , Chongwen Huang , Chau Yuen , Yong Liang Guan

Linear systems occur throughout engineering and the sciences, most notably as differential equations. In many cases the forcing function for the system is unknown, and interest lies in using noisy observations of the system to infer the…

A common approach to approximating Gaussian log-likelihoods at scale exploits the fact that precision matrices can be well-approximated by sparse matrices in some circumstances. This strategy is motivated by the \emph{screening effect},…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein

We propose an analytical solution for approximating the gradient of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) in variational inference problems where the statistical model is a Bayesian network consisting of observations drawn from a mixture of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Roumen Nikolaev Popov

Model correction is essential for reliable PDE learning when the governing physics is misspecified due to simplified assumptions or limited observations. In the machine learning literature, existing correction methods typically operate in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Wenwen Zhou , Xiaodong Feng , Ling Guo , Hao Wu

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

Tensor network contraction on arbitrary graphs is a fundamental computational challenge with applications ranging from quantum simulation to error correction. While belief propagation (BP) provides a powerful approximation algorithm for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-28 Siddhant Midha , Yifan F. Zhang

Approximate Bayesian inference for the class of latent Gaussian models can be achieved efficiently with integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA). Based on recent reformulations in the INLA methodology, we propose a further extension…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Shourya Dutta , Janet van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a well-established statistical tool for modeling complex nonlinear relationships between covariates and a response assumed to have a conditional distribution in the exponential family. In this article,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Oswaldo Gressani , Philippe Lambert

Bayesian posterior distributions arising in modern applications, including inverse problems in partial differential equation models in tomography and subsurface flow, are often computationally intractable due to the large computational cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Tapio Helin , Andrew Stuart , Aretha Teckentrup , Konstantinos Zygalakis