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We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

Time series and signals are attracting more attention across statistics, machine learning and pattern recognition as it appears widely in the industry especially in sensor and IoT related research and applications, but few advances has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Lu Liu , Zhiguang Wang

The problem of structure estimation in graphical models with latent variables is considered. We characterize conditions for tractable graph estimation and develop efficient methods with provable guarantees. We consider models where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-23 Animashree Anandkumar , Ragupathyraj Valluvan

This article presents a survey of work on lifted graphical models. We review a general form for a lifted graphical model, a par-factor graph, and show how a number of existing statistical relational representations map to this formalism. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-08-29 Lilyana Mihalkova , Lise Getoor

The overview-driven visual analysis of large-scale dynamic graphs poses a major challenge. We propose Multiscale Snapshots, a visual analytics approach to analyze temporal summaries of dynamic graphs at multiple temporal scales. First, we…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Eren Cakmak , Udo Schlegel , Dominik Jäckle , Daniel Keim , Tobias Schreck

This paper presents a technique for reduced-order Markov modeling for compact representation of time-series data. In this work, symbolic dynamics-based tools have been used to infer an approximate generative Markov model. The time-series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-28 Devesh K Jha , Nurali Virani , Jan Reimann , Abhishek Srivastav , Asok Ray

We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

Fitting a graphical model to a collection of random variables given sample observations is a challenging task if the observed variables are influenced by latent variables, which can induce significant confounding statistical dependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Armeen Taeb , Parikshit Shah , Venkat Chandrasekaran

This work was developed aiming to employ Statistical techniques to the field of Music Emotion Recognition, a well-recognized area within the Signal Processing world, but hardly explored from the statistical point of view. Here, we opened…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Nathalie Deziderio , Hugo Tremonte de Carvalho

Multiscale dynamical systems characterized by interacting fast and slow processes are ubiquitous across scientific domains, from climate dynamics to fluid mechanics. Accurate modeling of such systems requires capturing both the long-term…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Giulio Del Felice , Ludovico Theo Giorgini

The widespread deployment of sensing devices leads to a surge in data for spatio-temporal forecasting applications such as traffic flow, air quality, and wind energy. Although spatio-temporal graph neural networks have achieved success in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Wei Chen , Yuxuan Liang

Using graphs to model irregular information domains is an effective approach to deal with some of the intricacies of contemporary (network) data. A key aspect is how the data, represented as graph signals, depend on the topology of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Fernando J. Iglesias Garcia , Santiago Segarra , Antonio G. Marques

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

Graphical network inference is used in many fields such as genomics or ecology to infer the conditional independence structure between variables, from measurements of gene expression or species abundances for instance. In many practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-22 Geneviève Robin , Christophe Ambroise , Stéphane Robin

This paper considers a challenging problem of identifying a causal graphical model under the presence of latent variables. While various identifiability conditions have been proposed in the literature, they often require multiple pure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

Non-deterministic measurements are common in real-world scenarios: the performance of a stochastic optimization algorithm or the total reward of a reinforcement learning agent in a chaotic environment are just two examples in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-31 Etor Arza , Josu Ceberio , Ekhiñe Irurozki , Aritz Pérez

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Suppose we are given a system of coupled oscillators on an unknown graph along with the trajectory of the system during some period. Can we predict whether the system will eventually synchronize? Even with a known underlying graph…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Hardeep Bassi , Richard Yim , Rohith Kodukula , Joshua Vendrow , Cherlin Zhu , Hanbaek Lyu

We are interested in modeling networks in which the connectivity among the nodes and node attributes are random variables and interact with each other. We propose a probabilistic model that allows one to formulate jointly a probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Haiyan Cai