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In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are widely used in computational neuroscience and machine learning applications. In an RNN, each neuron computes its output as a nonlinear function of its integrated input. While the importance of RNNs,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-10 Sebastian Bitzer , Stefan J. Kiebel

This study is devoted to the inference problem of extracting the nuclear matter properties directly from a set of mass-radius observations. We employ Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), which is a probabilistic model capable of estimating the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-09-27 Valéria Carvalho , Márcio Ferreira , Constança Providência

We consider the problem of diagnosing faults in a system represented by a Bayesian network, where diagnosis corresponds to recovering the most likely state of unobserved nodes given the outcomes of tests (observed nodes). Finding an optimal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alice X. Zheng , Irina Rish , Alina Beygelzimer

Laplace approximations are classic, computationally lightweight means for constructing Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). As in other approximate BNNs, one cannot necessarily expect the induced predictive uncertainty to be calibrated. Here we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Agustinus Kristiadi , Matthias Hein , Philipp Hennig

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) have emerged as a crucial approach for interpreting ML predictions. By sampling from the posterior distribution, data scientists may estimate the uncertainty of an inference. Unfortunately many inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Thomas D. Ahle , Sahar Karimi , Peter Tak Peter Tang

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

Existing Binary Neural Networks (BNNs) mainly operate on local convolutions with binarization function. However, such simple bit operations lack the ability of modeling contextual dependencies, which is critical for learning discriminative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Xingrun Xing , Yangguang Li , Wei Li , Wenrui Ding , Yalong Jiang , Yufeng Wang , Jing Shao , Chunlei Liu , Xianglong Liu

Unsupervised learning of hidden representations has been one of the most vibrant research directions in machine learning in recent years. In this work we study the brain-like Bayesian Confidence Propagating Neural Network (BCPNN) model,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Naresh Balaji Ravichandran , Anders Lansner , Pawel Herman

We consider the problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for deep neural networks, which is important in problem settings where we may have little data, and/ or where we need accurate posterior predictive densities, e.g., for applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-10 Anoop Korattikara , Vivek Rathod , Kevin Murphy , Max Welling

People use rich prior knowledge about the world in order to efficiently learn new concepts. These priors - also known as "inductive biases" - pertain to the space of internal models considered by a learner, and they help the learner make…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Reuben Feinman , Brenden M. Lake

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Network embedding methodologies, which learn a distributed vector representation for each vertex in a network, have attracted considerable interest in recent years. Existing works have demonstrated that vertex representation learned through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-22 Vachik S. Dave , Baichuan Zhang , Pin-Yu Chen , Mohammad Al Hasan

Biologically-informed neural networks (BINNs), an extension of physics-informed neural networks [1], are introduced and used to discover the underlying dynamics of biological systems from sparse experimental data. In the present work, BINNs…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 John H. Lagergren , John T. Nardini , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson , Kevin B. Flores

In previous work we developed a method of learning Bayesian Network models from raw data. This method relies on the well known minimal description length (MDL) principle. The MDL principle is particularly well suited to this task as it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Wai Lam , Fahiem Bacchus

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) provide flexible function approximations for a wide variety of applications when the input variables are in the form of images or spatial data. Although CNNs often outperform traditional statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Yeseul Jeon , Won Chang , Seonghyun Jeong , Sanghoon Han , Jaewoo Park

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

In this paper, we advocate for two stages in a neural network's decision making process. The first is the existing feed-forward inference framework where patterns in given data are sensed and associated with previously learned patterns. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Mohit Prabhushankar , Ghassan AlRegib

We consider in this paper the formulation of approximate inference in Bayesian networks as a problem of exact inference on an approximate network that results from deleting edges (to reduce treewidth). We have shown in earlier work that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Arthur Choi , Adnan Darwiche

Uncertainty quantification is an important task in machine learning - a task in which standardneural networks (NNs) have traditionally not excelled. This can be a limitation for safety-critical applications, where uncertainty-aware methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Felix Fiedler , Sergio Lucia
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