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This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Most methods of exact probability propagation in Bayesian networks do not carry out the inference directly over the network, but over a secondary structure known as a junction tree or a join tree (JT). The process of obtaining a JT is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Julia M. Flores , Jose A. Gamez , Kristian G. Olesen

Belief Propagation (BP) is a popular, distributed heuristic for performing MAP computations in Graphical Models. BP can be interpreted, from a variational perspective, as minimizing the Bethe Free Energy (BFE). BP can also be used to solve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-05-20 Andrew Gelfand , Jinwoo Shin , Michael Chertkov

We propose a hybrid message passing method for distributed cooperative localization and tracking of mobile agents. Belief propagation and mean field message passing are employed for, respectively, the motion-related and measurement-related…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-25 Burak Çakmak , Daniel N. Urup , Florian Meyer , Troels Pedersen , Bernard H. Fleury , Franz Hlawatsch

We present a novel distributed Gauss-Newton method for the non-linear state estimation (SE) model based on a probabilistic inference method called belief propagation (BP). The main novelty of our work comes from applying BP sequentially…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Mirsad Cosovic , Dejan Vukobratovic

Belief propagation (BP) is a popular method for performing probabilistic inference on graphical models. In this work, we enhance BP and propose self-guided belief propagation (SBP) that incorporates the pairwise potentials only gradually.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Christian Knoll , Adrian Weller , Franz Pernkopf

In this paper, we argue for the utility of deterministic inference in the classical problem of numerical linear algebra, that of solving a linear system. We show how the Gaussian belief propagation solver, known to work for symmetric…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vladimir Fanaskov

The group testing problem asks for efficient pooling schemes and algorithms that allow to screen moderately large numbers of samples for rare infections. The goal is to accurately identify the infected samples while conducting the least…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-19 AminCoja-Oghlan , Max Hahn-Klimroth , Philipp Loick , Manuel Penschuck

Bayesian inference on non-Gaussian data is often non-analytic and requires computationally expensive approximations such as sampling or variational inference. We propose an approximate inference framework primarily designed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hobbhahn , Philipp Hennig

Neural nets have become popular to accelerate parameter inferences, especially for the upcoming generation of galaxy surveys in cosmology. As neural nets are approximative by nature, a recurrent question has been how to propagate the neural…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-25 Daniela Grandón , Elena Sellentin

We propose a new algorithm for inferring the state of hidden spins and reconstructing the connections in a synchronous kinetic Ising model, given the observed history. Focusing on the case in which the hidden spins are conditionally…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-11 Claudia Battistin , John Hertz , Joanna Tyrcha , Yasser Roudi

The Bethe approximation, or loopy belief propagation algorithm is a successful method for approximating partition functions of probabilistic models associated with a graph. Chertkov and Chernyak derived an interesting formula called Loop…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2009-11-14 Yusuke Watanabe , Kenji Fukumizu

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

Exact inference in the linear regression model with spike and slab priors is often intractable. Expectation propagation (EP) can be used for approximate inference. However, the regular sequential form of EP (R-EP) may fail to converge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-13 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

This paper introduces General Proximal Flow Networks (GPFNs), a generalization of Bayesian Flow Networks that broadens the class of admissible belief-update operators. In Bayesian Flow Networks, each update step is a Bayesian posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Alexander Strunk , Roland Assam

Classical Bayesian persuasion assumes that senders fully understand how receivers form beliefs and make decisions--an assumption that rarely holds when receivers possess private information or exhibit non-Bayesian behavior. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

The canonical problem of solving a system of linear equations arises in numerous contexts in information theory, communication theory, and related fields. In this contribution, we develop a solution based upon Gaussian belief propagation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-10-08 Ori Shental , Danny Bickson , Paul H. Siegel , Jack K. Wolf , Danny Dolev

Restricted Boltzmann machines~(RBMs) and conditional RBMs~(CRBMs) are popular models for a wide range of applications. In previous work, learning on such models has been dominated by contrastive divergence~(CD) and its variants. Belief…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-06 Wei Ping , Alexander Ihler

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible distributions over functions that enable high-level assumptions about unknown functions to be encoded in a parsimonious, flexible and general way. Although elegant, the application of GPs is limited by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-06 Thang D. Bui , Josiah Yan , Richard E. Turner
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