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We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

We consider the problem of learning structures and parameters of Continuous-time Bayesian Networks (CTBNs) from time-course data under minimal experimental resources. In practice, the cost of generating experimental data poses a bottleneck,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-12 Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

This paper introduces the kernel mixture network, a new method for nonparametric estimation of conditional probability densities using neural networks. We model arbitrarily complex conditional densities as linear combinations of a family of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-22 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Marcel A. J. van Gerven , Eric Maris

Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) can be used to generate probability density functions of model parameters $\boldsymbol{\theta}$ given a set of observables $\mathbf{x}$. In some applications, training data are available only for discrete…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-08-18 Charles Burton , Spencer Stubbs , Peter Onyisi

Recently several researchers have investigated techniques for using data to learn Bayesian networks containing compact representations for the conditional probability distributions (CPDs) stored at each node. The majority of this work has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Bayesian networks (BN) are probabilistic graphical models that enable efficient knowledge representation and inference. These have proven effective across diverse domains, including healthcare, bioinformatics and economics. The structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Niccolò Rocchi , Fabio Stella , Cassio de Campos

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Deciding what to sense is a crucial task, made harder by dependencies and by a nonadditive utility function. We develop approximation algorithms for selecting an optimal set of measurements, under a dependency structure modeled by a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Yan Radovilsky , Solomon Eyal Shimony

We conduct a thorough analysis of the relationship between the out-of-sample performance and the Bayesian evidence (marginal likelihood) of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), as well as looking at the performance of ensembles of BNNs, both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Kamran Javid , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

This paper addresses the need for deep learning models to integrate well-defined constraints into their outputs, driven by their application in surrogate models, learning with limited data and partial information, and scenarios requiring…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-02 Rahul Rathnakumar , Jiayu Huang , Hao Yan , Yongming Liu

Deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) have dominated the recent developments in computer vision through making various record-breaking models. However, it is still a great challenge to achieve powerful DCNNs in resource-limited…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Jiaxin Gu , Junhe Zhao , Xiaolong Jiang , Baochang Zhang , Jianzhuang Liu , Guodong Guo , Rongrong Ji

Scenario-based optimization and control has proven to be an efficient approach to account for system uncertainty. In particular, the performance of scenario-based model predictive control (MPC) schemes depends on the accuracy of uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-22 Yajie Bao , Javad Mohammadpour Velni

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

It is known that describing or calculating the conditional probabilities of multiple events is exponentially expensive. In this work, Bayesian tensor network (BTN) is proposed to efficiently capture the conditional probabilities of multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-08 Shi-Ju Ran

Binary data matrices can represent many types of data such as social networks, votes, or gene expression. In some cases, the analysis of binary matrices can be tackled with nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF), where the observed data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Alberto Lumbreras , Louis Filstroff , Cédric Févotte

Binarized neural networks, or BNNs, show great promise in edge-side applications with resource limited hardware, but raise the concerns of reduced accuracy. Motivated by the complex neural networks, in this paper we introduce complex…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Yanfei Li , Tong Geng , Ang Li , Huimin Yu

To improve the identification of potential anomaly patterns in complex user behavior, this paper proposes an anomaly detection method based on a deep mixture density network. The method constructs a Gaussian mixture model parameterized by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Lu Dai , Wenxuan Zhu , Xuehui Quan , Renzi Meng , Sheng Chai , Yichen Wang

Active learning methods for neural networks are usually based on greedy criteria which ultimately give a single new design point for the evaluation. Such an approach requires either some heuristics to sample a batch of design points at one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Evgenii Tsymbalov , Sergei Makarychev , Alexander Shapeev , Maxim Panov

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber