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This paper proposes a novel diffusion-index model for forecasting when predictors are high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We apply an $\alpha$-PCA method to extract low-dimensional matrix factors and build a bilinear regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-07 Zhiren Ma , Qian Zhao , Riquan Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

We propose a novel two-regime regression model where regime switching is driven by a vector of possibly unobservable factors. When the factors are latent, we estimate them by the principal component analysis of a panel data set. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-11 Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Modern biomedical datasets are increasingly high dimensional and exhibit complex correlation structures. Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMMs) have long been employed to account for such dependencies. However, proper specification of the…

Matrix factor model has been growing popular in scientific fields such as econometrics, which serves as a two-way dimension reduction tool for matrix sequences. In this article, we for the first time propose the matrix elliptical factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 ZeYu Li , Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Xinsheng Zhang

This paper introduces the method of composite quantile factor model for factor analysis in high-dimensional panel data. We propose to estimate the factors and factor loadings across multiple quantiles of the data, allowing the estimates to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-03 Xiao Huang

We consider estimation of large approximate factor models in high-dimensional panels of stationary time series using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). We review the key results establishing the necessary and sufficient conditions for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Matteo Barigozzi

Volatilities, in high-dimensional panels of economic time series with a dynamic factor structure on the levels or returns, typically also admit a dynamic factor decomposition. We consider a two-stage dynamic factor model method recovering…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Marc Hallin

Despite the rapid development of computational hardware, the treatment of large and high dimensional data sets is still a challenging problem. This paper provides a twofold contribution to the topic. First, we propose a Gaussian Mixture…

We consider multi-class classification problems for high dimensional data. Following the idea of reduced-rank linear discriminant analysis (LDA), we introduce a new dimension reduction tool with a flavor of supervised principal component…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-28 Yue Selena Niu , Ning Hao , Bin Dong

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Factor models are a very efficient way to describe high dimensional vectors of data in terms of a small number of common relevant factors. This problem, which is of fundamental importance in many disciplines, is usually reformulated in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

Principal component analysis (PCA) is perhaps the most widely used method for data dimensionality reduction. A key question in PCA is deciding how many factors to retain. This manuscript describes a new approach to automatically selecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

Principal component analysis (PCA) is arguably the most widely used approach for large-dimensional factor analysis. While it is effective when the factors are sufficiently strong, it can be inconsistent when the factors are weak and/or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Zhongyuan Lyu , Ming Yuan

This paper generalises dynamic factor models for multidimensional dependent data. In doing so, it develops an interpretable technique to study complex information sources ranging from repeated surveys with a varying number of respondents to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Filippo Pellegrino

Multivariate signal processing is often based on dimensionality reduction techniques. We propose a new method, Dynamical Component Analysis (DyCA), leading to a classification of the underlying dynamics and - for a certain type of dynamics…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-19 Bastian Seifert , Katharina Korn , Steffen Hartmann , Christian Uhl

In this study, we propose a novel model called the Markov-switching dynamic matrix factor (Ms-DMF) model, which serves the dual purpose of structural interpretation and prediction for high-dimensional matrix time series. When estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Chaofeng Yuan , Sainan Xu , Xingbing Kong , Jianhua Guo

We propose a new matrix factor model, named RaDFaM, which is strictly derived based on the general rank decomposition and assumes a structure of a high-dimensional vector factor model for each basis vector. RaDFaM contributes a novel class…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 Xu Zhang , Catherine C. Liu , Jianhua Guo , K. C. Yuen , A. H. Welsh

Multidimensional fitting (MDF) method is a multivariate data analysis method recently developed and based on the fitting of distances. Two matrices are available: one contains the coordinates of the points and the second contains the…

sparseDFM is an R package for the implementation of popular estimation methods for dynamic factor models (DFMs) including the novel Sparse DFM approach of Mosley et al. (2023). The Sparse DFM ameliorates interpretability issues of factor…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-27 Luke Mosley , Tak-Shing Chan , Alex Gibberd

We present a data-driven method for separating complex, multiscale systems into their constituent time-scale components using a recursive implementation of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Local linear models are built from windowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Daniel Dylewsky , Molei Tao , J. Nathan Kutz