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Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Latent space models are popular for analyzing dynamic network data. We propose a variational approach to estimate the model parameters as well as the latent positions of the nodes in the network. The variational approach is much faster than…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Yan Liu , Yuguo Chen

Approximating complex probability densities is a core problem in modern statistics. In this paper, we introduce the concept of Variational Inference (VI), a popular method in machine learning that uses optimization techniques to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Ankush Ganguly , Samuel W. F. Earp

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

This paper provides a new methodology to analyze unobserved heterogeneity when observed characteristics are modeled nonlinearly. The proposed model builds on varying random coefficients (VRC) that are determined by nonlinear functions of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-05 Christoph Breunig

Machine learning techniques always aim to reduce the generalized prediction error. In order to reduce it, ensemble methods present a good approach combining several models that results in a greater forecasting capacity. The Random Machines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Anderson Ara , Mateus Maia , Samuel Macêdo , Francisco Louzada

Evidence accumulation models (EAMs) are an important class of cognitive models used to analyze both response time and response choice data recorded from decision-making tasks. Developments in estimation procedures have helped EAMs become…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-01 Viet Hung Dao , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Guy E. Hawkins , Scott D. Brown

Spike-and-slab and horseshoe regression are arguably the most popular Bayesian variable selection approaches for linear regression models. However, their performance can deteriorate if outliers and heteroskedasticity are present in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Alberto Cabezas , Marco Battiston , Christopher Nemeth

This paper proposes a hybrid basis function construction method (GP-RVM) for Symbolic Regression problem, which combines an extended version of Genetic Programming called Kaizen Programming and Relevance Vector Machine to evolve an optimal…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Hossein Izadi Rad , Ji Feng , Hitoshi Iba

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Manikanta Srikar Yellapragada , Chandra Prakash Konkimalla

Despite impressive advances in simultaneous localization and mapping, dense robotic mapping remains challenging due to its inherent nature of being a high-dimensional inference problem. In this paper, we propose a dense semantic robotic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Lu Gan , Maani Ghaffari Jadidi , Steven A. Parkison , Ryan M. Eustice

We propose an adaptive ridge (AR) estimation scheme for a heteroscedastic linear regression model with log-linear noise in data. We simultaneously estimate the mean and variance parameters, demonstrating new asymptotic distributional and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Ka Long Keith Ho , Hiroki Masuda

Bayesian hierarchical linear models provide a natural framework to analyze nested and clustered data. Classical estimation with Markov chain Monte Carlo produces well calibrated posterior distributions but becomes computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Cristian Parra-Aldana , Juan Sosa

Complex network reconstruction is a hot topic in many fields. Currently, the most popular data-driven reconstruction framework is based on lasso. However, it is found that, in the presence of noise, lasso loses efficiency for weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Shuang Xu , Chun-Xia Zhang , Pei Wang , Jiangshe Zhang

In this paper, we consider modelling interaction between a set of variables in the context of time series and high dimension. We suggest two approaches. The first is similar to the neighborhood lasso when the lasso model is replaced by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-05 Kamel Jebreen , Badih Ghattas

Variational Bayes (VB) is a recent approximate method for Bayesian inference. It has the merit of being a fast and scalable alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) but its approximation error is often unknown. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-05 Reza Hajargasht

This paper proposes a robust classification model, based on support vector machine (SVM), which simultaneously deals with outliers detection and feature selection. The classifier is built considering the ramp loss margin error and it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Marta Baldomero-Naranjo , Luisa I. Martínez-Merino , Antonio M. Rodríguez-Chía

The performance of many network learning applications crucially hinges on the success of network embedding algorithms, which aim to encode rich network information into low-dimensional vertex-based vector representations. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Wenlin Wang , Chenyang Tao , Zhe Gan , Guoyin Wang , Liqun Chen , Xinyuan Zhang , Ruiyi Zhang , Qian Yang , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin

We propose a nonconvex estimator for joint multivariate regression and precision matrix estimation in the high dimensional regime, under sparsity constraints. A gradient descent algorithm with hard thresholding is developed to solve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-03 Jinghui Chen , Quanquan Gu