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The Bou\'e-Dupuis variational formula gives a representation for log Laplace transforms of bounded measurable functions of a finite dimensional Brownian motion on a compact time interval as an infimum of a suitable cost over a collection of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-05 A. Budhiraja

The Wilson fermion determinant can be written in the form of a series expansion in fugacity $\xi=\exp(\mu/T)$, provided that the eigenmodes of the temporally reduced operator are obtained. Since the calculation of all eigenmodes rapidly…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2014-11-18 Yasunori Futamura , Shoji Hashimoto , Akira Imakura , Keitaro Nagata , Tetsuya Sakurai

We introduce a transform on the class of stochastic exponentials for d-dimensional Brownian motions. Each stochastic exponential generates another stochastic exponential under the transform. The new exponential process is often merely a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor Goodman

In this paper we derive the density $\varphi$ of the first time $T$ that a continuous martingale $M$ with non-random quadratic variation $<M>_\cdot:=\int_0^\cdot h^2(u)du$ hits a moving boundary $f$ which is twice continuously…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-14 Gerardo Hernandez-del-Valle

Incorporating a non-Euclidean variable metric to first-order algorithms is known to bring enhancement. However, due to the lack of an optimal choice, such an enhancement appears significantly underestimated. In this work, we establish a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Yifan Ran

We construct a class of one-dimensional diffusion processes on the particles of branching Brownian motion that are symmetric with respect to the limits of random martingale measures. These measures are associated with the extended extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Sebastian Andres , Lisa Hartung

We consider reinforcement learning in parameterized Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), where the parameterization may induce correlation across transition probabilities or rewards. Consequently, observing a particular state transition might…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-01 Aditya Gopalan , Shie Mannor

We investigate the structural properties of the last passage time $\sigma_z^{\lambda}$ at level $z > 0$ of a Brownian motion with positive drift $\lambda > 0$, denoted $B^{\lambda} = (B_t + \lambda t)_{t \geq 0}$, in the filtration…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Mohammed Louriki

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

Az\'{e}ma associated with an honest time L the supermartingale $Z_{t}^{L}=\mathbb{P}[L>t|\mathcal{F}_{t}]$ and established some of its important properties. This supermartingale plays a central role in the general theory of stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-23 Ashkan Nikeghbali

In this article, the two filter formula is re-examined in the setting of partially observed Gauss--Markov models. It is traditionally formulated as a filter running backward in time, where the Gaussian density is parametrized in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Filip Tronarp

The crucial step in designing a particle filter for a particular application is the choice of importance density. The optimal scheme is to use the conditional posterior density of the state, but this cannot be sampled or calculated…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-15 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

We consider the intensity-based approach for the modeling of default times of one or more companies. In this approach the default times are defined as the jump times of a Cox process, which is a Poisson process conditional on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Vincent Leijdekker , Peter Spreij

We consider the limiting extremal process ${\mathcal X}$ of the particles of the binary branching Brownian motion. We show that after a shift by the logarithm of the derivative martingale $Z$, the rescaled "density" of particles, which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Leonid Mytnik , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Lenya Ryzhik

Motivated by applications in conditional sampling, given a probability measure $\mu$ and a diffeomorphism $\phi$, we consider the problem of simultaneously approximating $\phi$ and the pushforward $\phi_{\#}\mu$ by means of the flow of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Borjan Geshkovski , Domènec Ruiz-Balet

In sequential design strategies, common in geostatistics and Bayesian optimization, the selection of a new observation point $X_{n+1}$ of a random function $\mathbf f$ is informed by past data, captured by the filtration $\mathcal…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Felix Benning

Catastrophic forgetting impairs the continuous learning of large language models. We propose Fisher-Guided Gradient Masking (FGGM), a framework that mitigates this by strategically selecting parameters for updates using diagonal Fisher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Chao-Hong Tan , Qian Chen , Wen Wang , Yukun Ma , Chong Zhang , Chong Deng , Qinglin Zhang , Xiangang Li , Jieping Ye

This paper extends some prominent statistical results including \emph{Fisher Theorem and Wilks phenomenon} to the penalized maximum likelihood estimation with a quadratic penalization. It appears that sharp expansions for the penalized MLE…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-11 Vladimir Spokoiny

In this paper, we aim at characterizing generalized functionals of discrete-time normal martingales. Let $M=(M_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be a discrete-time normal martingale that has the chaotic representation property. We first construct…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Caishi Wang , Jinshu Chen

In this letter, we revisit the problem of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of parameters of Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and show a new derivation for its parameters. The new derivation, unlike the classical approach employing the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-10 Nitesh Sahu , Prabhu Babu