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The asymptotic behavior of the stochastic gradient algorithm with a biased gradient estimator is analyzed. Relying on arguments based on the dynamic system theory (chain-recurrence) and the differential geometry (Yomdin theorem and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Vladislav B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

This paper introduces a general framework for estimating variance components in the linear mixed models via general unbiased estimating equations, which include some well-used estimators such as the restricted maximum likelihood estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Tatsuya Kubokawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Sanjay Chaudhuri

This paper is a survey of recent contributions on estimation in stochastic differential equations with mixed-effects. These models involve N stochastic differential equations with common drift and diffusion functions but random parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Maud Delattre

Extensive numerical evidence shows that the assimilation of observations has a stabilizing effect on unstable dynamics, in numerical weather prediction and elsewhere. In this paper, we apply mathematically rigorous methods to showing why…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

In this paper, we study mixed power-exponential moment functionals of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. Conditions under which the moment functionals of interest can be expanded in asymptotic power series with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

For certain random variables that arise as limits of functionals of random finite trees, we obtain precise asymptotics for the logarithm of the right-hand tail. Our results are based on the facts (i) that the random variables we study can…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 James Allen Fill , Svante Janson

It is now widely accepted that volatility models have to incorporate the so-called leverage effect in order to to model the dynamics of daily financial returns.We suggest a new class of multivariate power transformed asymmetric models. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Othman Kadmiri , Bruno Saussereau

Power posteriors "robustify" standard Bayesian inference by raising the likelihood to a constant fractional power, effectively downweighting its influence in the calculation of the posterior. Power posteriors have been shown to be more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Ruchira Ray , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

This paper presents a novel generic asymptotic expansion formula of expectations of multidimensional Wiener functionals through a Malliavin calculus technique. The uniform estimate of the asymptotic expansion is shown under a weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Akihiko Takahashi , Toshihiro Yamada

In this paper, we construct consistent statistical estimators of the Hurst index, volatility coefficient, and drift parameter for Bessel processes driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H<1/2$. As an auxiliary result, we also prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

We study the asymptotic behavior of wavelet coefficients of random processes with long memory. These processes may be stationary or not and are obtained as the output of non--linear filter with Gaussian input. The wavelet coefficients that…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Marianne Clausel , François Roueff , Murad S. Taqqu , Ciprian A. Tudor

This paper deals with the Local Asymptotical normality for the joint drift parameter and Hurst parameter $H>3/4$ in the mixed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Different from the only estimation of the drift parameter when $H$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Chunhao Cai , Cong Zhang

The invariance properties of Brownian motion are investigated and revisited within a recent Lie symmetry approach to stochastic differential equations. Some notable properties of the process can be recovered by a related integration by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Susanna Dehò , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Paola Morando , Stefania Ugolini

This paper gives an accessible (but still technical) self-contained proof to the fact that the intersection probabilities for planar Brownian motion are given in terms of the intersection exponents, up to a bounded multiplicative error, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Greg Lawler , Oded Schramm , Wendelin Werner

In the present paper we consider the varying coefficient model which represents a useful tool for exploring dynamic patterns in many applications. Existing methods typically provide asymptotic evaluation of precision of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-07 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

This article presents various weak laws of large numbers for the so-called realised covariation of a bivariate stationary stochastic process which is not a semimartingale. More precisely, we consider two cases: Bivariate moving average…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Andrea Granelli , Almut E. D. Veraart

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We propose a wavelet-based approach to construct consistent estimators of the pointwise H\"older exponent of a multifractional Brownian motion, in the case where this underlying process is not directly observed. The relative merits of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Sixian Jin , Qidi Peng , Henry Schellhorn

Herein we develop a dynamical foundation for fractional Brownian Motion. A clear relation is established between the asymptotic behaviour of the correlation function and diffusion in a dynamical system. Then, assuming that scaling is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 R Mannella , P Grigolini , BJ West

Diffusive transport in many complex systems features a crossover between anomalous diffusion at short times and normal diffusion at long times. This behavior can be mathematically modeled by cutting off (tempering) beyond a mesoscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Thomas Vojta , Zachary Miller , Samuel Halladay