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Gaussian empirical Bayes methods usually maintain a precision independence assumption: The unknown parameters of interest are independent from the known standard errors of the estimates. This assumption is often theoretically questionable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Jiafeng Chen

Approximate Bayesian computing is a powerful likelihood-free method that has grown increasingly popular since early applications in population genetics. However, complications arise in the theoretical justification for Bayesian inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-03 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Min-ge Xie

We present a novel distributed probabilistic bisection algorithm using social learning with application to target localization. Each agent in the network first constructs a query about the target based on its local information and obtains a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Athanasios Tsiligkaridis , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis

Traditional backpropagation of error, though a highly successful algorithm for learning in artificial neural network models, includes features which are biologically implausible for learning in real neural circuits. An alternative called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Nasir Ahmad , Marcel A. J. van Gerven , Luca Ambrogioni

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Belief Propagation has been widely used for marginal inference, however it is slow on problems with large-domain variables and high-order factors. Previous work provides useful approximations to facilitate inference on such models, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-15 Sameer Singh , Sebastian Riedel , Andrew McCallum

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Uri Nodelman , Daphne Koller , Christian R. Shelton

Belief Propagation (BP) is a powerful algorithm for distributed inference in probabilistic graphical models, however it quickly becomes infeasible for practical compute and memory budgets. Many efficient, non-parametric forms of BP have…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Tom Yates , Yuzhou Cheng , Ignacio Alzugaray , Danyal Akarca , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Andrew J. Davison

We present two sampling algorithms for probabilistic confidence inference in Bayesian networks. These two algorithms (we call them AIS-BN-mu and AIS-BN-sigma algorithms) guarantee that estimates of posterior probabilities are with a given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Jian Cheng , Marek J. Druzdzel

Standard Bayesian inference schemes are infeasible for inverse problems with computationally expensive forward models. A common solution is to replace the model with a cheaper surrogate. To avoid overconfident conclusions, it is essential…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-09 Andrew Gerard Roberts , Michael Dietze , Jonathan H. Huggins

The paper investigates parameterized approximate message-passing schemes that are based on bounded inference and are inspired by Pearl's belief propagation algorithm (BP). We start with the bounded inference mini-clustering algorithm and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Robert Mateescu , Kalev Kask , Vibhav Gogate , Rina Dechter

The rapidly increasing complexity of (mainly wireless) ad-hoc networks stresses the need of reliable distributed estimation of several variables of interest. The widely used centralized approach, in which the network nodes communicate their…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-20 K. Dedecius , V. Sečkárová

Bayesian inference offers a principled account of information processing in natural agents. However, it remains an open question how neural mechanisms perform their abstract operations. We investigate a hypothesis where a distributed form…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Sepideh Adamiat , Wouter M. Kouw , Bert de Vries

Distributed resource allocation is a central task in network systems such as smart grids, water distribution networks, and urban transportation systems. When solving such problems in practice it is often important to have nonasymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Xuyang Wu , Sindri Magnusson , Mikael Johansson

We liberate Equilibrium Propagation (EP) from the limit of infinitesimal perturbations by establishing a finite-nudge foundation for local credit assignment. By modeling network states as Gibbs-Boltzmann distributions rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Elon Litman

We consider the problem of approximating a given element $f$ from a Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}$ by means of greedy algorithms and the application of such procedures to the regression problem in statistical learning theory. We improve on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Andrew R. Barron , Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ronald A. DeVore

Bayesian inference usually requires running potentially costly inference procedures separately for every new observation. In contrast, the idea of amortized Bayesian inference is to initially invest computational cost in training an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

An important part of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov Random Field. The belief propagation algorithm, which is an exact procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-01-24 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

We generalize the belief-propagation algorithm to sparse random networks with arbitrary distributions of motifs (triangles, loops, etc.). Each vertex in these networks belongs to a given set of motifs (generalization of the configuration…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-28 S. Yoon , A. V. Goltsev , S. N. Dorogovtsev , J. F. F. Mendes