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Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

The wealth of data being gathered about humans and their surroundings drives new machine learning applications in various fields. Consequently, more and more often, classifiers are trained using not only numerical data but also complex data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Maciej Piernik , Dariusz Brzezinski , Pawel Zawadzki

Computing and storing probabilities is a hard problem as soon as one has to deal with complex distributions over multiple random variables. The problem of efficient representation of probability distributions is central in term of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-16 David Bellot , Pierre Bessiere

Recently several researchers have investigated techniques for using data to learn Bayesian networks containing compact representations for the conditional probability distributions (CPDs) stored at each node. The majority of this work has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

We present convincing empirical evidence for an effective and general strategy for building accurate small models. Such models are attractive for interpretability and also find use in resource-constrained environments. The strategy is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Abhishek Ghose

To learn (statistical) dependencies among random variables requires exponentially large sample size in the number of observed random variables if any arbitrary joint probability distribution can occur. We consider the case that sparse data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Dominik Janzing , Daniel Herrmann

Learning a distribution conditional on a set of discrete-valued features is a commonly encountered task. This becomes more challenging with a high-dimensional feature set when there is the possibility of interaction between the features. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-01 David C. Kessler , Jack Taylor , David B. Dunson

Graphical models are widely used to make inferences concerning interplay in multivariate systems. In many applications, data are collected from multiple related but nonidentical units whose underlying networks may differ but are likely to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Chris J. Oates , Jim Korkola , Joe W. Gray , Sach Mukherjee

Dynamic Bayesian networks have been well explored in the literature as discrete-time models: however, their continuous-time extensions have seen comparatively little attention. In this paper, we propose the first constraint-based algorithm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Alessandro Bregoli , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Methods for learning Bayesian network structure can discover dependency structure between observed variables, and have been shown to be useful in many applications. However, in domains that involve a large number of variables, the space of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Eran Segal , Dana Pe'er , Aviv Regev , Daphne Koller , Nir Friedman

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-30 Marcus Hutter

Clustered data, which arise when observations are nested within groups, are incredibly common in clinical, education, and social science research. Traditionally, a linear mixed model, which includes random effects to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Kevin McCoy , Zachary Wooten , Katarzyna Tomczak , Christine B. Peterson

Current Bayesian net representations do not consider structure in the domain and include all variables in a homogeneous network. At any time, a human reasoner in a large domain may direct his attention to only one of a number of natural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Yang Xiang , David L. Poole , Michael P. Beddoes

A learning algorithm is presented which given the structure of a causal tree, will estimate its link probabilities by sequential measurements on the leaves only. Internal nodes of the tree represent conceptual (hidden) variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Igor Roizer , Judea Pearl

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

We consider probabilistic inference in general hybrid networks, which include continuous and discrete variables in an arbitrary topology. We reexamine the question of variable discretization in a hybrid network aiming at minimizing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Alexander V. Kozlov , Daphne Koller

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

Tree-based priors for probability distributions are usually specified using a predetermined, data-independent collection of candidate recursive partitions of the sample space. To characterize an unknown target density in detail over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Li Ma , Benedetta Bruni

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

Latent variable models are an elegant framework for capturing rich probabilistic dependencies in many applications. However, current approaches typically parametrize these models using conditional probability tables, and learning relies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Ankur P. Parikh , Le Song , Mariya Ishteva , Gabi Teodoru , Eric P. Xing