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Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper we introduce a nonmonotonic framework for belief revision in which reasoning about the reliability of different pieces of information based on meta-knowledge about the information is possible, and where revision strategies can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Gerhard Brewka

Bayesian networks provide an elegant formalism for representing and reasoning about uncertainty using probability theory. Theyare a probabilistic extension of propositional logic and, hence, inherit some of the limitations of propositional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristian Kersting , Luc De Raedt

We define a generalized likelihood function based on uncertainty measures and show that maximizing such a likelihood function for different measures induces different types of classifiers. In the probabilistic framework, we obtain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Loo-Nin Teow , Kia-Fock Loe

We establish bounds on the probability that two different agents, who share an initial opinion expressed as a probability distribution on an abstract probability space, given two different sources of information, may come to radically…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Krzysztof Burdzy , Jim Pitman

This paper addresses decision-aiding problems that involve multiple objectives and uncertain states of the world. Inspired by the capability approach, we focus on cases where a policy maker chooses an act that, combined with a state of the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolas Fayard , David Ríos Insua , Alexis Tsoukiàs

Given a finite collection of probability measures defined on subsets of a measurable space, how can we determine if they are compatible, in the sense that they can be realized as conditional distributions of a single probability measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Owen D. Biesel , Colin McSwiggen , Ted Theodosopoulos , Michael G. Titelbaum

In this paper, we examine the concept of modularity, an often cited advantage of the ruled-based representation methodology. We argue that the notion of modularity consists of two distinct concepts which we call syntactic modularity and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 David Heckerman , Eric J. Horvitz

Actual individual preferences are neither complete (=total) nor antisymmetric in general, so that at least every quasi-order must be an admissible input to a satisfactory choice rule. It is argued that the traditional notion of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jobst Heitzig

Standard models of multi-agent modal logic do not capture the fact that information is often \emph{ambiguous}, and may be interpreted in different ways by different agents. We propose a framework that can model this, and consider different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-10 Joseph Y. Halpern , Willemien Kets

In science and medicine, model interpretations may be reported as discoveries of natural phenomena or used to guide patient treatments. In such high-stakes tasks, false discoveries may lead investigators astray. These applications would…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-18 Collin Burns , Jesse Thomason , Wesley Tansey

The Bernoulli filter is a Bayes filter for joint detection and tracking of a target in the presence of false and miss detections. This paper presents a mathematical formulation of the Bernoulli filter in the framework of possibility theory,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Branko Ristic , Jeremie Houssineau , Sanjeev Arulampalam

Logics for reasoning about knowledge and actions have seen many applications in various domains of multi-agent systems, including epistemic planning. Change of knowledge based on observations about the surroundings forms a key aspect in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Avijeet Ghosh , Sujata Ghosh , François Schwarzentruber

We establish a variety of numerical representations of preference relations induced by set-valued risk measures. Because of the general incompleteness of such preferences, we have to deal with multi-utility representations. We look for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-10 Cosimo Munari

For frequentist settings in which parameter randomness represents variability rather than uncertainty, the ideal measure of the support for one hypothesis over another is the difference in the posterior and prior log odds. For situations in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-03 David R. Bickel

Conditional acceptability refers to how plausible a conditional statement is perceived to be. It plays an important role in communication and reasoning, as it influences how individuals interpret implications, assess arguments, and make…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Jasmin Orth , Philipp Mondorf , Barbara Plank

An agent often has a number of hypotheses, and must choose among them based on observations, or outcomes of experiments. Each of these observations can be viewed as providing evidence for or against various hypotheses. All the attempts to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

We revisit Zadeh's notion of "evidence of the second kind" and show that it provides the foundation for a general theory of epistemic random fuzzy sets, which generalizes both the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Thierry Denoeux

We discuss the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. We introduce a concept of monotonicity which is related to the diminution of the range between belief and plausibility. We show that the accumulation of knowledge in this framework exhibits…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ronald R. Yager

The goal of this paper is twofold. First and foremost, we aim to experimentally and quantitatively show that the choice of a multiwinner voting rule can play a crucial role on the way minorities are represented. We also test the possibility…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-11 Piotr Faliszewski , Jean-Francois Laslier , Robert Schaefer , Piotr Skowron , Arkadii Slinko , Nimrod Talmon