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The short-term forecasting of real-time locational marginal price (LMP) and network congestion is considered from a system operator perspective. A new probabilistic forecasting technique is proposed based on a multiparametric programming…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-28 Yuting Ji , Robert J. Thomas , Lang Tong

As distribution systems move towards being more actively managed there is increased potential for regional markets and the application of locational marginal prices (LMPs) to capture spatial variation in the marginal cost of electricity at…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Calum Edmunds , Waqquas Bukhsh , Simon Gill , Stuart Galloway

Accurate price predictions are essential for market participants in order to optimize their operational schedules and bidding strategies, especially in the current context where electricity prices become more volatile and less predictable…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Naga Venkata Sai Jitin Jami , Juraj Kardoš , Olaf Schenk , Harald Köstler

The potential of recovering the topology of a grid using solely publicly available market data is explored here. In contemporary whole-sale electricity markets, real-time prices are typically determined by solving the network-constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis , Ross Baldick

Fair distribution of benefits in electric power systems is a pertinent energy policymaking problem; however, these efforts cannot be easily quantified in power system engineering studies. Therefore, we propose locational marginal burden…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Samuel Talkington , Amanda West , Rabab Haider

This paper investigates large fluctuations of Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs) in wholesale energy markets caused by volatile renewable generation profiles. Specifically, we study events of the form $\mathbb{P} \Big ( \mathbf{LMP} \notin…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Tommaso Nesti , John Moriarty , Alessandro Zocca , Bert Zwart

Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. One of the approaches to identify zones is based on clustering of Locational Marginal Prices (LMP). The purpose of the paper is twofold: (i) we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-10-21 Karol Wawrzyniak , Grzegorz Orynczak , Michal Klos , Aneta Goska , Marcin Jakubek

Growing concerns over climate change call for improved techniques for estimating and quantifying the greenhouse gas emissions associated with electricity generation and transmission. Among the emission metrics designated for power grids,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-20 Xuan He , Danny H. K. Tsang , Yize Chen

In electricity markets, locational marginal price (LMP) forecasting is particularly important for market participants in making reasonable bidding strategies, managing potential trading risks, and supporting efficient system planning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Yuyun Yang , Zhenfei Tan , Haitao Yang , Guangchun Ruan , Haiwang Zhong

The problem of pricing utility-scale energy storage resources (ESRs) in the real-time electricity market is considered. Under a rolling-window dispatch model where the operator centrally dispatches generation and consumption under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-26 Cong Chen , Lang Tong , Ye Guo

Several approaches have been proposed to forecast day-ahead locational marginal price (daLMP) in deregulated energy markets. The rise of deep learning has motivated its use in energy price forecasts but most deep learning approaches fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Dipanwita Saha , Felipe Lopez

Pricing storage operation in the real-time market under demand and generation stochasticities is considered. A scenario-based stochastic rolling-window dispatch model is formulated for the real-time market, consisting of conventional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-20 Cong Chen , Lang Tong

The start up costs in many kinds of generators lead to complex cost structures, which in turn yield severe market loopholes in the locational marginal price (LMP) scheme. Convex hull pricing (a.k.a. extended LMP) is proposed to improve the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Jian Sun , Chenye Wu

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

Finding clear economic signals for distribution-network operation and expansion is increasingly important as single-phase loads and distributed energy resources escalate. These devices create phase-to-phase imbalances that manifest as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-30 Alireza Zabihi , Luis Badesa , Araceli Hernandez

Distribution markets are among the prospect being considered for the future of power systems. They would facilitate integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) and microgrids via a market mechanism and enable them to monetize…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-09 Sina Parhizi , Amin Khodaei

Electricity markets often utilize the DC approximation of the AC power flow equations to facilitate solving an otherwise complex nonconvex optimization problem. These DC power flow equations have analogies to DC circuit laws such as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Kyri Baker , Harsha Gangammanavar

Pricing multi-interval economic dispatch of electric power under operational uncertainty is considered in this two-part paper. Part I investigates dispatch-following incentives for generators under the locational marginal pricing (LMP) and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-29 Cong Chen , Ye Guo , Lang Tong

Locational Marginal Price (LMP) is a dual variable associated with supply-demand matching and represents the cost of delivering power to a particular location if the load at that location increases. In recent times it become more volatile…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Shantanu Chakraborty , Remco Verzijlbergh , Milos Cvetkovic , Kyri Baker , Zofia Lukszo

Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. In this paper we use social welfare as the measure to assess quality of various zonal divisions. The social welfare is calculated by Market Coupling…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Grzegorz Orynczak , Marcin Jakubek , Karol Wawrzyniak , Michal Klos
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