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In this paper, we present a kernel-based, multi-task Gaussian Process (GP) model for approximating the underlying function of an individual's mobility state using a time-inhomogeneous Markov Process with two states: moves and pauses. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-22 Ekin Ugurel

We present a one-way shooting algorithm for transition path sampling that accepts every proposed trajectory, yet samples the correct transition path ensemble for systems with overdamped stochastic dynamics. The method is based on two key…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-10 Magdalena Häupl , Sebastian Falkner , Peter G. Bolhuis , Christoph Dellago , Alessandro Coretti

In reinforcement learning, the reward function on current state and action is widely used. When the objective is about the expectation of the (discounted) total reward only, it works perfectly. However, if the objective involves the total…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Using a real-time path integral approach we develop an algorithm to calculate multi-time correlation functions of open few-level quantum systems that is applicable to highly nonequilibrium dynamics. The calculational scheme fully keeps the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2018-09-12 Michael Cosacchi , Moritz Cygorek , Florian Ungar , Andreas M. Barth , Alexei Vagov , Vollrath Martin Axt

Rare nonadiabatic events play a central role in photochemistry but remain difficult to simulate because excited-state dynamics is computationally demanding and often stochastic. Here we introduce a deterministic and time-reversible…

We elaborate and validate a generalization of the renowned transition-path-sampling algorithm for a paradigmatic model of active particles, namely the Run-and-Tumble particles. Notwithstanding the non-equilibrium character of these…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-20 Thomas Kiechl , Thomas Franosch , Michele Caraglio

Bayesian regression trees are flexible non-parametric models that are well suited to many modern statistical regression problems. Many such tree models have been proposed, from the simple single- tree model to more complex tree ensembles.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-09 M. T. Pratola

A strategy for finding transition paths connecting two stable basins is presented. The starting point is the Hamilton principle of stationary action; we show how it can be transformed into a minimum principle through the addition of…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-07 Daniele Passerone , Matteo Ceccarelli , Michele Parrinello

We first explore methods for approximating the commute time and Katz score between a pair of nodes. These methods are based on the approach of matrices, moments, and quadrature developed in the numerical linear algebra community. They rely…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-08 Francesco Bonchi , Pooya Esfandiar , David F. Gleich , Chen Greif , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan

We derive the transient-time correlation function (TTCF) expression for the computation of phase variables of inhomogenous confined atomistic fluids undergoing boundary-driven planar shear (Couette) flow at constant pressure. Using…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-05-24 Luca Maffioli , Edward R. Smith , James P. Ewen , Peter J. Daivis , Daniele Dini , B. D. Todd

When combined with highly expressive ansatz functions such as neural quantum states, variational Monte Carlo (VMC) constitutes a versatile numerical approach to tackle the quantum many-body problem in and out of equilibrium. However, its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-06 Wladislaw Krinitsin , Markus Schmitt

The emergence of transition phenomena between metastable states induced by noise plays a fundamental role in a broad range of nonlinear systems. The computation of the most probable paths is a key issue to understand the mechanism of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xianbin Liu

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression algorithm. The posterior is a distribution over sums of decision trees, and predictions are made by averaging approximate samples from the posterior.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Yan Shuo Tan , James Duncan , Bin Yu

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Predicting human behavior is a difficult and crucial task required for motion planning. It is challenging in large part due to the highly uncertain and multi-modal set of possible outcomes in real-world domains such as autonomous driving.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Yuning Chai , Benjamin Sapp , Mayank Bansal , Dragomir Anguelov

This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

Algorithms for rare event complex systems simulations are proposed. Compressed Sensing (CS) has {\it revolutionized} our understanding of limits in signal recovery and has forced us to re-define Shannon-Nyquist sampling theorem for sparse…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-04-27 Mehmet Süzen

The recursion method, which solves coupled Heisenberg equations in a Lanczos operator basis, has recently emerged as a powerful nonperturbative tool for computing dynamical correlation functions in strongly correlated two- and…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-04-29 Ilya Shirokov , Viacheslav Khrushchev , Filipp Uskov , Ivan Dudinets , Igor Ermakov , Oleg Lychkovskiy