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The adaptive quasi-likelihood analysis is developed for a degenerate diffusion process. Asymptotic normality and moment convergence are proved for the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators and quasi-Bayesian estimators, in the adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper introduces a quasi-likelihood ratio testing procedure for diffusion processes observed under nonsynchronous sampling schemes. High-frequency data, particularly in financial econometrics, are often recorded at irregular time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Teppei Ogihara , Futo Ueno

We numerically address the stability analysis of linear age-structured population models with nonlocal diffusion, which arise naturally in describing dynamics of infectious diseases. Compared to Laplace diffusion, models with nonlocal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Dimitri Breda , Simone De Reggi , Rossana Vermiglio

This paper develops a general methodology to conduct statistical inference for observations indexed by multiple sets of entities. We propose a novel multiway empirical likelihood statistic that converges to a chi-square distribution under…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-12 Harold D Chiang , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

The question of testing for equality in distribution between two linear models, each consisting of sums of distinct discrete independent random variables with unequal numbers of observations, has emerged from the biological research. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Giulio Prevedello , Ken R. Duffy

We study parametric estimation of ergodic diffusions observed at high frequency. Different from the previous studies, we suppose that sampling stepsize is unknown, thereby making the conventional Gaussian quasi-likelihood not directly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

We consider the quasi-likelihood analysis for a linear regression model driven by a Student-t L\'{e}vy process with constant scale and arbitrary degrees of freedom. The model is observed at high frequency over an extending period, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Hiroki Masuda , Lorenzo Mercuri , Yuma Uehara

We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

We give a criterion for the existence of a non-degenerate quasihomogeneous polynomial in a configuration, i.e. in the space of polynomials with a fixed set of weights, and clarify the relation of this criterion to the necessary condition…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-26 Maximilian Kreuzer , Harald Skarke

We consider statistical inference in factor analysis for ergodic and non-ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Factor model based on high frequency time series data has been mainly discussed in the field of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

We propose a Likelihood Matching approach for training diffusion models by first establishing an equivalence between the likelihood of the target data distribution and a likelihood along the sample path of the reverse diffusion. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Lei Qian , Wu Su , Yanqi Huang , Song Xi Chen

The likelihood ratio statistic, with its asymptotic $\chi^2$ distribution at regular model points, is often used for hypothesis testing. At model singularities and boundaries, however, the asymptotic distribution may not be $\chi^2$, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Differentiability of semigroups is useful for many applications. Here we focus on stochastic differential equations whose diffusion coefficient is the square root of a differentiable function but not differentiable itself. For every…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Martin Hutzenthaler , Daniel Pieper

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

A simple analytical framework to study the molecular quasispecies evolution of finite populations is proposed, in which the population is assumed to be a random combination of the constiyuent molecules in each generation,i.e., linkage…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Domingos Alves , J. F. Fontanari

We investigate the problem of semi-parametric maximum likelihood under constraints on summary statistics. Such a procedure results in a discrete probability distribution that maximises the likelihood among all such distributions under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Subhro Ghosh , Sanjay Chaudhuri

A sufficient criterion for "non-degeneracy" is given for Exponential Random Graph Models on sparse graphs with sufficient statistics which are functions of the degree sequence. This criterion explains why statistics such as alternating…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Sumit Mukherjee

The quasi likelihood analysis is generalized to the partial quasi likelihood analysis. Limit theorems for the quasi likelihood estimators, especially the quasi Bayesian estimator, are derived in the situation where existence of a slow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Nakahiro Yoshida

We wish to estimate the total number of classes in a population based on sample counts, especially in the presence of high latent diversity. Drawing on probability theory that characterizes distributions on the integers by ratios of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 A. Willis , J. Bunge
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