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Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

Reliably characterizing the full conditional distribution of a multivariate response variable given a set of covariates is crucial for trustworthy decision-making. However, misspecified or miscalibrated multivariate models may yield a poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Victor Dheur , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Logistic regression models are widely used in the social and behavioral sciences and in high-stakes domains, due to their simplicity and interpretability properties. At the same time, such domains are permeated by distribution shifts, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Qingshi Sun , Nathan Justin , Andres Gomez , Phebe Vayanos

This undergraduate thesis focuses on calculating maximum likelihood estimates of parameters in the generalized Gamma distribution using the SeLF algorithm. As an extension of the Gamma distribution, the generalized Gamma distribution can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Yufei Cai

We characterize the family of utility functions satisfying linear fractional relative risk aversion (LFRRA) in terms of the Gauss hypergeometric functions. We apply this family, which nests various utility functions used in different…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-29 Kristian Behrens , Yasusada Murata

A large class of stochastic programs involve optimizing an expectation taken with respect to an underlying distribution that is unknown in practice. One popular approach to addressing the distributional uncertainty, known as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Di Wu , Helin Zhu , Enlu Zhou

In this paper, the author presents the generalized form of the Median-Based Unit Rayleigh (MBUR) distribution, a novel statistical distribution that is specifically defined within the interval (0, 1) expressing oscillating hazard rate…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Iman Attia

Many cases exist in which a black-box function $f$ with high evaluation cost depends on two types of variables $\bm x$ and $\bm w$, where $\bm x$ is a controllable \emph{design} variable and $\bm w$ are uncontrollable \emph{environmental}…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Yu Inatsu , Shogo Iwazaki , Ichiro Takeuchi

A significant obstacle in the development of robust machine learning models is covariate shift, a form of distribution shift that occurs when the input distributions of the training and test sets differ while the conditional label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

A multi-factor extension of the Hobson and Rogers (HR) model, incorporating a quadratic variance function (QHR model), is proposed and analysed. The QHR model allows for greater flexibility in defining the moving average filter while…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-13 Paolo Foschi

Hierarchical parametric models consisting of observable and latent variables are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. For example, a mixture model is a representative hierarchical model for clustering. From the statistical point of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-24 Keisuke Yamazaki

This paper introduces the multivariate beta mixture model (MBMM), a new probabilistic model for soft clustering. MBMM adapts to diverse cluster shapes because of the flexible probability density function of the multivariate beta…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Yung-Peng Hsu , Hung-Hsuan Chen

We introduce a novel function-on-function linear quantile regression model to characterize the entire conditional distribution of a functional response for a given functional predictor. Tensor cubic $B$-splines expansion is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Semanur Saricam

In Econometrics, the Breusch-Pagan test-statistic has become an iconic application of the Lagrange multipliers (LM) test. We shall introduce beta-score LM tests for heteroscedasticity in linear regression models, which trades-off the degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-19 Nirian Martin

Spectrum-based fault localization (SBFL) works well for single-fault programs but its accuracy decays for increasing fault numbers. We present FLITSR (Fault Localization by Iterative Test Suite Reduction), a novel SBFL extension that…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Dylan Callaghan , Bernd Fischer

Machine Learning Force Fields (MLFFs) are a promising alternative to expensive ab initio quantum mechanical molecular simulations. Given the diversity of chemical spaces that are of interest and the cost of generating new data, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Tobias Kreiman , Aditi S. Krishnapriyan

Survival analysis aims at modeling the relationship between covariates and event occurrence with some untracked (censored) samples. In implementation, existing methods model the survival distribution with strong assumptions or in a discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Yu Ling , Weimin Tan , Bo Yan

Factor models are widely applied to the analysis of multivariate data across disparate fields of research. However, modern scientific data are often incomplete, and estimating a factor model from partially observed data can be very…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Giuseppe Vinci

Survival models incorporating cure fractions, commonly known as cure fraction models or long-term survival models, are widely employed in epidemiological studies to account for both immune and susceptible patients in relation to the failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Agatha Rodrigues , Patrick Borges

We introduce a general framework for regression in the errors-in-variables regime, allowing for full flexibility about the dimensionality of the data, observational error probability density types, the (nonlinear) model type and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Wolfgang Hoegele , Sarah Brockhaus