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We consider a semiparametric generalized linear model and study estimation of both marginal and quantile effects in this model. We propose an approximate maximum likelihood estimator, and rigorously establish the consistency, the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Seong-ho Lee , Yanyuan Ma , Elvezio Ronchetti

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

Bayesian synthetic likelihood is a widely used approach for conducting Bayesian analysis in complex models where evaluation of the likelihood is infeasible but simulation from the assumed model is tractable. We analyze the behaviour of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Nott

This paper considers estimation of large dynamic factor models with common and idiosyncratic trends by means of the Expectation Maximization algorithm, implemented jointly with the Kalman smoother. We show that, as the cross-sectional…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-23 Matteo Barigozzi , Matteo Luciani

This paper deals with the estimation problem of misspecified ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation models based on high-frequency samples. We utilize the widely applicable and tractable Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Yuma Uehara

Maximum likelihood estimation has been extensively used in the joint analysis of repeated measurements and survival time. However, there is a lack of theoretical justification of the asymptotic properties for the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng , Jianwen Cai

Inference on the parametric part of a semiparametric model is no trivial task. If one approximates the infinite dimensional part of the semiparametric model by a parametric function, one obtains a parametric model that is in some sense…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Adam Lee , Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland

Asynchronous Bayesian optimization is a recently implemented technique that allows for parallel operation of experimental systems and disjointed workflows. Contrasting with serial Bayesian optimization which individually selects experiments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Amanda A. Volk , Kristofer G. Reyes , Jeffrey G. Ethier , Luke A. Baldwin

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

In this article we focus on estimating the quadratic covariation of continuous semimartingales from discrete observations that take place at asynchronous observation times. The Hayashi-Yoshida estimator serves as synchronized realized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

Knowing the link between observed predictive variables and outcomes is crucial for making inference in any regression model. When this link is missing, partially or completely, classical estimation methods fail in recovering the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Jinyu Chen

When we use the normal mixture model, the optimal number of the components describing the data should be determined. Testing homogeneity is good for this purpose; however, to construct its theory is challenging, since the test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Natsuki Kariya , Sumio Watanabe

Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. These models consist of observable and latent variables, which represent the observable data and the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-26 Keisuke Yamazaki

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

We obtain an asymptotic normality result that reveals the precise asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimators of parameters for a very general class of linear mixed models containing cross random effects. In achieving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Jiming Jiang , Matt P. Wand , Swarnadip Ghosh

A recent trend in Bayesian research has been revisiting generalizations of the likelihood that enable Bayesian inference without requiring the specification of a model for the data generating mechanism. This paper focuses on a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-03 Antonio R. Linero

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2013-07-11 Yuao Hu , Kaifeng Zhao , Heng Lian