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We propose a general methodology of sequential locally optimal design of experiments for explicit or implicit nonlinear models, as they abound in chemical engineering and, in particular, in vapor-liquid equilibrium modeling. As a sequential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Martin Bubel , Jochen Schmid , Volodymyr Kozachynskyi , Erik Esche , Michael Bortz

Model-based experimental design is attracting increasing attention in chemical process engineering. Typically, an iterative procedure is pursued: an approximate model is devised, prescribed experiments are then performed and the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Charlie Vanaret , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Gleb Karpov , Gleb Ryzhakov , Ivan Oseledets , Norbert Asprion , Michael Bortz

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu

Optimal design of a Phase I cancer trial can be formulated as a stochastic optimization problem. By making use of recent advances in approximate dynamic programming to tackle the problem, we develop an approximation of the Bayesian optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-01 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Optimal experimental designs are probability measures with finite support enjoying an optimality property for the computation of least squares estimators. We present an algorithm for computing optimal designs on finite sets based on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Federico Piazzon

Bayesian optimal design is considered for experiments where the response distribution depends on the solution to a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. The motivation is an experiment to estimate parameters in the equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-02 Antony Overstall , David Woods , Ben Parker

There are multiple cluster randomised trial designs that vary in when the clusters cross between control and intervention states, when observations are made within clusters, and how many observations are made at that time point. Identifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Samuel I. Watson , Alan Girling , Karla Hemming

Design of experiments is a fundamental topic in applied statistics with a long history. Yet its application is often limited by the complexity and costliness of constructing experimental designs, which involve searching a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Matthew T. Pratola , C. Devon Lin , Peter F. Craigmile

This paper considers the problem of designing time-dependent, real-time control policies for controllable nonlinear diffusion processes, with the goal of obtaining maximally-informative observations about parameters of interest. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-16 Giles Hooker , Kevin K. Lin , Bruce Rogers

Data collection costs can vary widely across variables in data science tasks. Two-phase designs can be employed to save data collection costs. This paper considers the two-phase studies where inexpensive variables are collected for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao

The issue of determining not only an adequate dose but also a dosing frequency of a drug arises frequently in Phase II clinical trials. This results in the comparison of models which have some parameters in common. Planning such studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Kirsten Schorning , Maria Konstantinou

Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks to conduct the most informative experiment under budget constraints to update the prior knowledge of a system to its posterior from the experimental data in a Bayesian framework. Such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann , Peng Chen

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

We develop adaptive discretization algorithms for locally optimal experimental design of nonlinear prediction models. With these algorithms, we refine and improve a pertinent state-of-the-art algorithm in various respects. We establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Jochen Schmid , Philipp Seufert , Michael Bortz

Identification of optimal dose combinations in early phase dose-finding trials is challenging, due to the trade-off between precisely estimating the many parameters required to flexibly model the possibly non-monotonic dose-response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Bruno Boulanger , Bradley P. Carlin

Minimizing the number of patients exposed to potentially harmful drugs in early onco logical trials is a major concern during planning. Adaptive designs account for the inherent uncertainty about the true effect size by determining the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-03 Kevin Kunzmann , Meinhard Kieser

Group testing techniques are widely used in resource-constrained settings, such as infectious-disease screening, blood safety, DNA library screening, and industrial inspection, where the efficient use of limited testing resources depends…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Weng Kee Wong , Julie Zhou

Optimal Bayesian design techniques provide an estimate for the best parameters of an experiment in order to maximize the value of measurements prior to the actual collection of data. In other words, these techniques explore the space of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

The design of informatively rich input signals is essential for accurate system identification, yet classical Fisher-information-based methods are inherently local and often inadequate in the presence of significant model uncertainty and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Piotr Bania , Anna Wójcik