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We derive a consistency result, in the $L_1$-sense, for incomplete U-statistics in the non-standard case where the kernel at hand has infinite second-order moments. Assuming that the kernel has finite moments of order $p(\geq 1)$, we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Alexander Dürre , Davy Paindaveine

This paper presents uniform estimation and inference theory for a large class of nonparametric partitioning-based M-estimators. The main theoretical results include: (i) uniform consistency for convex and non-convex objective functions;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Boris Shigida

This paper considers extensions of minimum-disparity estimators to the problem of estimating parameters in a regression model that is conditionally specified; that is where a parametric model describes the distribution of a response $y$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Giles Hooker

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

We find the asymptotic distribution of the multi-dimensional multi-scale and kernel estimators for high-frequency financial data with microstructure. Sampling times are allowed to be asynchronous and endogenous. In the process, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Markus Bibinger , Per A. Mykland

It is shown that many results on the statistical robustness of kernel-based pairwise learning can be derived under basically no assumptions on the input and output spaces. In particular neither moment conditions on the conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-30 Patrick Gensler , Andreas Christmann

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

Random graph mixture models are now very popular for modeling real data networks. In these setups, parameter estimation procedures usually rely on variational approximations, either combined with the expectation-maximisation (\textsc{em})…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-09 Christophe Ambroise , Catherine Matias

Gradient-descent based iterative algorithms pervade a variety of problems in estimation, prediction, learning, control, and optimization. Recently iterative algorithms based on higher-order information have been explored in an attempt to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Spencer McDonald , Yingnan Cui , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

We study the boundary trace processes of reflected diffusions on uniform domains. We obtain stable-like heat kernel estimates for such a boundary trace process when the diffusion on the underlying ambient space satisfies sub-Gaussian heat…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Naotaka Kajino , Mathav Murugan

We propose estimators based on kernel ridge regression for nonparametric causal functions such as dose, heterogeneous, and incremental response curves. Treatment and covariates may be discrete or continuous in general spaces. Due to a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-25 Rahul Singh , Liyuan Xu , Arthur Gretton

Confidence bounds are an essential tool for rigorously quantifying the uncertainty of predictions. They are a core component in many sequential learning and decision-making algorithms, with tighter confidence bounds giving rise to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Hamish Flynn , David Reeb

This article investigates sharp comparison of moments for various classes of random variables appearing in a geometric context. In the first part of our work we find the optimal constants in the Khintchine inequality for random vectors…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexandros Eskenazis , Piotr Nayar , Tomasz Tkocz

Distributed machine learning systems have been receiving increasing attentions for their efficiency to process large scale data. Many distributed frameworks have been proposed for different machine learning tasks. In this paper, we study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Hongwei Sun , Qiang Wu

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Ulysse Gazin , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Recent research in the theory of overparametrized learning has sought to establish generalization guarantees in the interpolating regime. Such results have been established for a few common classes of methods, but so far not for ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Yutong Wang , Clayton D. Scott

We propose new reproducing kernel-based tests for model checking in conditional moment restriction models. By regressing estimated residuals on kernel functions via kernel ridge regression (KRR), we obtain a coefficient function in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-05 Yuhao Li

This paper presents an innovative approach, called credal wrapper, to formulating a credal set representation of model averaging for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensembles (DEs), capable of improving uncertainty estimation in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Kaizheng Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin , Keivan Shariatmadar , David Moens , Hans Hallez

These notes provide a self-contained introduction to kernel methods and their geometric foundations in machine learning. Starting from the construction of Hilbert spaces, we develop the theory of positive definite kernels, reproducing…